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Does electricity competition work for residential consumers? Evidence from demand models for default and competitive residential electricity services

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  • Agustin J. Ros

    (The Brattle Group
    Brandeis University)

Abstract

Residential electricity competition is under investigation in a number of U.S. states due to alleged market imperfections including consumer behavior that is supposedly inconsistent with rational, economic decision-making. In this paper, I examine these issues and use a panel data of distribution utilities in Illinois during the period 2011–2017 to estimate demand models for regulated and competitive electricity services. I find that residential electricity consumers in Illinois are acting in a manner consistent with standard consumer behavior theory, with price elasticity of demand estimates that are generally in line with those in the literature, ranging between − 0.40 and − 0.60. Importantly, I find evidence that customers served by competitive suppliers are sensitive to the regulated default service price. Specifically, I find that a 1% decrease in the regulated default service price will lead to approximately 0.5% of customers served by competitive suppliers switching to the regulated default service. These findings call into question some of the underpinnings of policymakers’ critique of residential electricity competition.

Suggested Citation

  • Agustin J. Ros, 2020. "Does electricity competition work for residential consumers? Evidence from demand models for default and competitive residential electricity services," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 1-32, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:regeco:v:58:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s11149-020-09412-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s11149-020-09412-1
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Retail electricity competition; Electricity demand and pricing; Residential default service; Econometric modelling; Community choice aggregation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • L51 - Industrial Organization - - Regulation and Industrial Policy - - - Economics of Regulation
    • L94 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Electric Utilities

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