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Deriving Optimal Portfolios for Hedging Housing Risk

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  • Cristian Voicu
  • Michael Seiler

Abstract

Households that contemplate moving to different cities or trading up/down in the future are exposed to substantial housing risk. In order to mitigate this risk, we derive optimal portfolios using CME housing futures. Housing investment risk is hedged by selling housing futures amounting to the full value of the home. Housing consumption risk is hedged by buying housing futures in each city where the household might move. The size of the hedges depends on the probability of moving, on home values, and on labor income in each region. The hedging demands offset each other when the household intends to live in the same home indefinitely. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Cristian Voicu & Michael Seiler, 2013. "Deriving Optimal Portfolios for Hedging Housing Risk," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 46(3), pages 379-396, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:46:y:2013:i:3:p:379-396
    DOI: 10.1007/s11146-011-9328-x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Dong Zou & Pu Gong, 2017. "A Lattice Framework with Smooth Convergence for Pricing Real Estate Derivatives with Stochastic Interest Rate," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 242-263, August.
    2. Huang, MeiChi, 2018. "Time-varying diversification strategies: The roles of state-level housing assets in optimal portfolios," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 145-172.
    3. MeiChi Huang, 2019. "Risk diversification gains from metropolitan housing assets," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(4), pages 453-481, October.
    4. Fan, Gang-Zhi & Pu, Ming & Deng, Xiaoying & Ong, Seow Eng, 2018. "Optimal portfolio choices and the determination of housing rents under housing market uncertainty," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 200-217.
    5. Arzu Uluc, 2018. "Stabilising House Prices: the Role of Housing Futures Trading," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 587-621, May.
    6. Vishaal Baulkaran & Pawan Jain & Mark Sunderman, 2019. "Housing “Beta”: Common Risk Factor in Returns of Stocks," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 438-456, April.
    7. Frank J. Fabozzi & Robert J. Shiller & Radu S. Tunaru, 2020. "A 30-Year Perspective on Property Derivatives: What Can Be Done to Tame Property Price Risk?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 34(4), pages 121-145, Fall.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Housing derivatives; Optimal portfolio derivation; Hedging strategies; G11; G13; R29;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • R29 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Other

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