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Estimates, Bias and “No Sales” in Latin-American Art Auctions, 1977–1996

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Author Info

  • Robert Ekelund
  • Rand Ressler
  • John Watson

Abstract

Estimate bias and “no-sales” are investigated in the context of Latin American Art auctions conducted in New York between 1977 and 1996. We find that, using a new method for calculating bias, both Sotheby's and Christie's overestimated art (oil-on-canvas pieces) by 2.7 percent. The inclusion of “no-sales” raises that proportion to a full one-third of the art traded. Utilizing a binomial probit analysis, moreover, we find that the estimate “window” is negatively and significantly related to the likelihood of a “no sale” at auction. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 1998

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1023/A:1007471016277
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Springer in its journal Journal of Cultural Economics.

Volume (Year): 22 (1998)
Issue (Month): 1 (March)
Pages: 33-42

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Handle: RePEc:kap:jculte:v:22:y:1998:i:1:p:33-42

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Web page: http://www.springerlink.com/link.asp?id=100284

Related research

Keywords: art auction; Latin American art; bias;

References

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  1. Beggs, A. & Graddy, K., 1996. "Declining Values and the Afternoon Effect: Evidence from Art Auctions," Economics Series Working Papers 99184, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  2. Ashenfelter, O. & Genesove, D., 1992. "Testing for Price Anomalies in real Estate Auctions," Papers 128, Princeton, Department of Economics - Financial Research Center.
  3. Ashenfelter, Orley, 1989. "How Auctions Work for Wine and Art," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 3(3), pages 23-36, Summer.
  4. Pesando, James E, 1993. "Art as an Investment: The Market for Modern Prints," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 83(5), pages 1075-89, December.
  5. Milgrom, Paul R & Weber, Robert J, 1982. "A Theory of Auctions and Competitive Bidding," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(5), pages 1089-1122, September.
  6. Leslie Singer & Gary Lynch, 1997. "Are Multiple Art Markets Rational?," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer, vol. 21(3), pages 197-218, September.
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Cited by:
  1. G. Candela & P. Figini & A. E. Scorcu, 2003. "Price indices for artists - A proposal," Working Papers 491, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
  2. Campos, Nauro F & Leite Barbosa, Renata, 2008. "Paintings and Numbers: An Econometric Investigation of Sales Rates, Prices and Returns in Latin American Art Auctions," IZA Discussion Papers 3445, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  3. Patrick Georges & Aylin Seçkin, 2013. "Black notes and white noise: a hedonic approach to auction prices of classical music manuscripts," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer, vol. 37(1), pages 33-60, February.
  4. Calin Valsan & Robert Sproule, 2006. "Hedonic Models and Pre-Auction Estimates: Abstract Art Revisited," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 26(5), pages 1-10.
  5. Ünsal Özdilek, 2013. "Visual autocorrelation of prices," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer, vol. 37(2), pages 203-223, May.
  6. Patrick Georges & Aylin Seçkin, 2012. "Auction Prices of Classical Music Manuscripts – A Hedonic Approach," Working Papers 1202E, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics.
  7. L. Picci & A. E. Scorcu, 1999. "Price Dynamics in sequential auctions. New evidence using art auction data," Working Papers 352, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.

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