IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/jfr/rwe111/v10y2019i5p113-128.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Determinations of East Asia¡¯s Automobile Trade Using a Gravity Model

Author

Listed:
  • Shahrun Nizam Abdul-Aziz
  • Normala Zulkifli
  • Norimah Rambeli@Ramli
  • Noor Al-Huda Abdul Karim
  • Zainizam Zakariya
  • Norasibah Abdul Jalil

Abstract

The aim of this study is to investigate empirically the factors that determine the level of automobile trade in East Asian countries by taking into account government policies as well as the role of MNEs. To do so, in this study we include dummies of import substitution industrialisation (ISI) and export orientation industrialisation (EOI) policies as well as Japanese FDI as additional explanatory variables in our augmented gravity models. We found that GDPs, distance, per capita income, FTA, government policies, language and FDI are the determinants for the development of automobile industry in each country in East Asia. In the case of auto P&C, apart from economic size, the role of government through trade policy (i.e., FTA) and industrial policies as well as the role of MNCs are the major contributors to the development both exports and imports of East Asian countries. In the case of final automobiles, the role of FTA and language seems to be unimportant. Nonetheless, the role of government policies and MNCs seem to be important.

Suggested Citation

  • Shahrun Nizam Abdul-Aziz & Normala Zulkifli & Norimah Rambeli@Ramli & Noor Al-Huda Abdul Karim & Zainizam Zakariya & Norasibah Abdul Jalil, 2019. "The Determinations of East Asia¡¯s Automobile Trade Using a Gravity Model," Research in World Economy, Research in World Economy, Sciedu Press, vol. 10(5), pages 113-128, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:jfr:rwe111:v:10:y:2019:i:5:p:113-128
    DOI: 10.5430/rwe.v10n5p113
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciedu.ca/journal/index.php/rwe/article/view/16942/10534
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: http://www.sciedu.ca/journal/index.php/rwe/article/view/16942
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.5430/rwe.v10n5p113?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wei-Bin Zhang, 2018. "Growth, Residential Distribution, and Land Price in an Integrated Solow’s Growth and Alonso’s Residential Model," Asian Themes in Social Sciences Research, Knowledge Press, vol. 2(1), pages 23-31.
    2. Silvius Stanciu & Cezar Bichescu & Alexandru Căpățînă & George-Bogdan Drăgan & Andrei-Mirel Florea, 2018. "Enablers and inhibitors of collaborative network development in organic food industry: A fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA)," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 12(4), December.
    3. Fukunari Kimura & Kazunobu Hayakawa & Zheng Ji, 2008. "Does International Fragmentation Occur in Sectors Other Than Machinery?," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 22(4), pages 343-358, December.
    4. James E. Anderson & Eric van Wincoop, 2003. "Gravity with Gravitas: A Solution to the Border Puzzle," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(1), pages 170-192, March.
    5. Bergstrand, Jeffrey H, 1985. "The Gravity Equation in International Trade: Some Microeconomic Foundations and Empirical Evidence," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 67(3), pages 474-481, August.
    6. Fukunari Kimura & Ayako Obashi, 2016. "Production Networks in East Asia: What We Know So Far," ADB Institute Series on Development Economics, in: Ganeshan Wignaraja (ed.), Production Networks and Enterprises in East Asia, edition 1, chapter 0, pages 33-64, Springer.
    7. Ben Shepherd, 2010. "Trade costs and facilitation in APEC and ASEAN: delivering the goods?," STUDIES IN TRADE AND INVESTMENT, in: Mia Mikic (ed.), Rising Non-Tariff Protectionism and Crisis Recovery, chapter 5, pages 93-110, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP).
    8. Ernst, Dieter, 1997. "From Partial to Systemic Globalization: International Production Networks in the Electronics Industry," UCAIS Berkeley Roundtable on the International Economy, Working Paper Series qt7326w69k, UCAIS Berkeley Roundtable on the International Economy, UC Berkeley.
    9. I-Hui Cheng & Howard J. Wall, 2005. "Controlling for heterogeneity in gravity models of trade and integration," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 87(Jan), pages 49-63.
    10. Prema-chandra Athukorala & Jayant Menon, 2010. "Global Production Sharing, Trade Patterns and Determinants of Trade Flows," Departmental Working Papers 2010-06, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
    11. Athukorala, Prema–Chandra & Menon, Jayant, 2010. "Global Production Sharing, Trade Patterns, and Determinants of Trade Flows in East Asia," Working Papers on Regional Economic Integration 41, Asian Development Bank.
    12. Siow Yue Chia & Song Hong & Stephen Howes & Paul Wyrwoll & Vo Hai Minh & Sun Xuegong & Saroj Kumar Mohanty & Tulus T.H Tambunan & Somchai Jitsuchon & Larry Strange & Chang Jae Lee & Zhang Yunling & Mi, . "Moving Toward A New Development Model For East Asia-The Role of Domestic Policy and Regional Cooperation," Books, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA), number 2011-rpr-10 edited by Zhang Yunling & Fukunari Kimura & Sothea Oum, July.
    13. Wei-Bin Zhang, 2018. "Growth, Residential Distribution, and Land Price in an Integrated Solow’s Growth and Alonso’s Residential Model," Asian Themes in Social Sciences Research, Knowledge Press, vol. 2(1), pages 23-31.
    14. Saeed Hameed Aldulaimi, 2018. "The Influence of National Culture on Commitment that Produce Behavioral Support for Change Initiatives," International Journal of Applied Economics, Finance and Accounting, Online Academic Press, vol. 3(2), pages 64-73.
    15. Alan V. Deardorff, 2011. "Determinants of Bilateral Trade: Does Gravity Work in a Neoclassical World?," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Robert M Stern (ed.), Comparative Advantage, Growth, And The Gains From Trade And Globalization A Festschrift in Honor of Alan V Deardorff, chapter 24, pages 267-293, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    16. Don P. Clark, 2010. "Vertical specialization with developed and developing countries," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 43(2), pages 327-339, January-M.
    17. Bergstrand, Jeffrey H, 1989. "The Generalized Gravity Equation, Monopolistic Competition, and the Factor-Proportions Theory in International Trade," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 71(1), pages 143-153, February.
    18. Edward Christie, 2001. "Potential Trade in Southeast Europe: A Gravity Model Approach," wiiw Balkan Observatory Working Papers 11, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
    19. Fukunari KIMURA & Ayako OBASHI, 2010. "International Production Networks in Machinery Industries: Structure and Its Evolution," Working Papers DP-2010-09, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
    20. Fukunari KIMURA, 2006. "International Production and Distribution Networks in East Asia: Eighteen Facts, Mechanics, and Policy Implications," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, vol. 1(2), pages 326-344, December.
    21. Emmanuel Okokondem Okon, 2017. "Climate Change: Space Technology and Climate-Resilient Development in Nigeria," International Journal of Social Sciences Perspectives, Online Academic Press, vol. 1(1), pages 6-19.
    22. Jeffrey A. Frankel & Shang-Jin Wei, 1998. "Regionalization of World Trade and Currencies: Economics and Politics," NBER Chapters, in: The Regionalization of the World Economy, pages 189-226, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    23. Prema-chandra Athukorala, 2009. "Production Networks and Trade Patterns:East Asia in a Global Context," Departmental Working Papers 2009-15, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
    24. Jeffrey A. Frankel, 1998. "The Regionalization of the World Economy," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number fran98-1, March.
    25. Athukorala, Prema-chandra & Yamashita, Nobuaki, 2006. "Production fragmentation and trade integration: East Asia in a global context," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 233-256, December.
    26. Nishitateno, Shuhei, 2013. "Global production sharing and the FDI–trade nexus: New evidence from the Japanese automobile industry," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 64-80.
    27. Mbonde Anthony Jokakuu, 2018. "Assessing the Effectiveness of Management Consultancy in Operations of Construction Firms: A Case of Willy Enterprises Ltd in Arusha Tanzania," Asian Business Research Journal, Sophia, vol. 3(1), pages 26-32.
    28. Gladys NJANG CHE & Fabien Sundjo, 2018. "Determinants of Female Labour Force Participation in Cameroon," International Journal of Applied Economics, Finance and Accounting, Online Academic Press, vol. 3(2), pages 88-103.
    29. Hollis Chenery† & T.N. Srinivasan (ed.), 1989. "Handbook of Development Economics," Handbook of Development Economics, Elsevier, edition 1, volume 2, number 2.
    30. Shafaeddin, Mehdi & Pizarro, Juan, 2007. "From Export Promotion To Import Substitution; Comparative Experience of China and Mexico," MPRA Paper 6650, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Oct 2007.
    31. Emmanuel Okokondem Okon, 2017. "Climate Change: Space Technology and Climate-Resilient Development in Nigeria," International Journal of Social Sciences Perspectives, Online Academic Press, vol. 1(1), pages 6-19.
    32. Zerf Mohammed, 2017. "Impact of Sexual Lifestyle on Hormone-Related Health Decline Case Married Teachers," International Journal of Social Sciences Perspectives, Online Academic Press, vol. 1(1), pages 1-5.
    33. Zerf Mohammed, 2017. "Impact of Sexual Lifestyle on Hormone-Related Health Decline Case Married Teachers," International Journal of Social Sciences Perspectives, Online Academic Press, vol. 1(1), pages 1-5.
    34. Anderson, James E, 1979. "A Theoretical Foundation for the Gravity Equation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 69(1), pages 106-116, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lucie Davidova & Vladimir Benacek, 2014. "Determinants of Austrian International Trade: Analysis Based on the Gravity Model," Working Papers IES 2014/15, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Feb 2014.
    2. Richard Frensch & Jan Hanousek & Evžen Kocenda, 2012. "Incomplete Specialization and Offshoring across Europe," CESifo Working Paper Series 3809, CESifo.
    3. Petra Bubáková, 2013. "Gravity Model of International Trade, Its Variables, Assumptions, Problems and Applications [Gravitační model mezinárodní směny, jeho proměnné, předpoklady, problémy a aplikace]," Acta Oeconomica Pragensia, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2013(2), pages 3-24.
    4. Martínez-Zarzoso, Inmaculada & Felicitas, Nowak-Lehmann D. & Horsewood, Nicholas, 2009. "Are regional trading agreements beneficial?: Static and dynamic panel gravity models," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 46-65, March.
    5. Thi Hanh Vu, 2013. "International Export Flows of Vietnam :A Gravity Model Approach," Brussels Economic Review, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, vol. 56(1), pages 83-108.
    6. Hiroyuki Taguchi & Ni Lar, 2015. "Fragmentation And Trade Of Machinery Parts And Components In Mekong Region," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 60(05), pages 1-21, December.
    7. James Harrigan, 2001. "Specialization and the Volume of Trade: Do the Data Obey the Laws?," NBER Working Papers 8675, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Cardamone, Paola, 2007. "A Survey of the Assessments of the Effectiveness of Preferential Trade Agreements using Gravity Models," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 60(4), pages 421-473.
    9. James E. Anderson & Eric van Wincoop, 2004. "Trade Costs," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 42(3), pages 691-751, September.
    10. Adu, Raymond & Litsios, Ioannis & Baimbridge, Mark, 2022. "ECOWAS single currency: Prospective effects on trade," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    11. Inmaculada Martínez-Zarzoso & Felicitas Nowak-Lehmann, 2003. "Augmented Gravity Model: An Empirical Application to Mercosur-European Union Trade Flows," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 6, pages 291-316, November.
    12. Michele Fratianni & Francesco Marchionne, 2008. "Heterogeneity In Trade Costs," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 6(48), pages 1-14.
    13. Rinaldo Brau & Anna Maria Pinna, 2013. "Movements of People for Movements of Goods?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(10), pages 1318-1332, October.
    14. Anderson, Michael A. & Smith, Stephen L.S., 2007. "How does history matter? Hysteresis in Canadian trade," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 279-291, December.
    15. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:6:y:2008:i:48:p:1-14 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Paas, Tiiu, 2002. "Gravity approach for exploring Baltic Sea regional integration in the field of international trade," HWWA Discussion Papers 180, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA).
    17. M. Bruna Zolin & Utai Uprasen, 2018. "Trade creation and diversion: effects of EU enlargement on agricultural and food products and selected Asian countries," Asia Europe Journal, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 351-373, December.
    18. Gordeev, Dmitriy (Гордеев, Дмитрий) & Idrisova, Vittoria (Идрисова, Виттория) & Kaukin, Andrei (Каукин, Андрей) & Ponomarev, Yuriy (Пономарев, Юрий) & Filicheva, Evgeniya (Филичева, Евгения), 2016. "Analysis of Global Supply Chains in International Trade Patterns [Анализ Глобальных Цепочек В Моделях Международной Торговли]," Working Papers 765, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    19. Tran, N. & Wilson, N. & Hite, D., 2012. "Choosing the best model in the presence of zero trade: a fish product analysis," Monographs, The WorldFish Center, number 40064, April.
    20. Olivier Lamotte, 2003. "Disintegration and trade in South-eastern Europe," Cahiers de la Maison des Sciences Economiques j04031, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1).
    21. Baier, Scott L. & Bergstrand, Jeffrey H., 2007. "Do free trade agreements actually increase members' international trade?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(1), pages 72-95, March.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:jfr:rwe111:v:10:y:2019:i:5:p:113-128. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Gina Perry (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://rwe.sciedupress.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.