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dette optimale au Gabon

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  • Scott Regifère MOUANDAT

Abstract

Objectif : L’objet de l’article est de vérifier la non linéarité entre la dette extérieure et la croissance économique au Gabon.Méthode : En prenant la période 2000-2019, notre analyse, s’est appuyée sur le modèle à changement de régime à transition brutale (Threshold Autoregressive, TAR) de Hansen (1999).Résultats : Les résultats montrent que la dette libellée en dollar US et celle libellée en euro stimulent la croissance économique dans ce pays lorsqu’ils sont respectivement inférieurs au seuil de 52,31% et 34,76% du PIB et deviennent récessifs sur l’activité au-delà de ces seuils.Originalité/pertinence : L’article analyse la non-linéarité entre la dette extérieure et la croissance économique au Gabon en distinguant spécifiquement la dette libellée en dollar US et en Euro. Il s’est alors intéressé à la composition en devise d’une telle dette dans le cadre d’une petite économie ouverte sur l’extérieure.Contribution : Les résultats de l’article montrent que le gouvernement gagnerait à privilégier la dette libellée en dollar américain car elle donne plus de marge de manœuvre dans la stratégie d'endettement.

Suggested Citation

  • Scott Regifère MOUANDAT, 2021. "dette optimale au Gabon," Journal of Academic Finance, RED research unit, university of Gabes, Tunisia, vol. 12(1), pages 132-149, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:jaf:journl:v:12:y:2021:i:1:n:331
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    1. Scott Regifère MOUANDAT, 2022. "Asymétrie des Monnaies : Quel Effet sur la Dette Publique des pays membres de la CEMAC ?," Journal of Academic Finance, RED research unit, university of Gabes, Tunisia, vol. 13(1), pages 62-83, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dette optimale; Dette en monnaie étrangère; TAR; taux de change; gestion de la dette publique.; Optimal public debt; foreign currency debt; TAR; exchange rate; public debt management.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • M1 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Business Administration
    • N8 - Economic History - - Micro-Business History
    • G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance

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