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Is the deficit under control? A generational accounting perspective on fiscal policy and labour market trends in Spain

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Author Info
Gemma Abío (Universitat de Barcelona)
Eduard Berenguer (Universitat de Barcelona)
Holger Bonin (Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA), Bonn)
Joan Gil (Universitat de Barcelona)
Concepció Patxot () (Universitat de Barcelona)

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Abstract

According to the 2001 Spanish budgetary figures, the government deficit is about to disappear. Within a generational accounting framework we analyse if current fiscal policy is also intertemporally balanced. Furthermore, we extend the standard methodology incorporating tax and transfer age profiles by employment status in order to analyse the intertemporal impact of several future employment developments. First, the effect of the reduction in unemployment is disentangled from the effect of fiscal policy reforms during the period 1996-2000. Second, we assess the fiscal effects of an expected future increase in female labour force participation. Finally, we evaluate the impact of a decline in unemployment to the natural rate of unemployment

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Fundación SEPI in its journal Investigaciones Economicas.

Volume (Year): 27 (2003)
Issue (Month): 2 (May)
Pages: 309-341
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Handle: RePEc:iec:inveco:v:27:y:2003:i:2:p:309-341

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Related research
Keywords: Generational accounting; fiscal policy in Spain; public debt; demographic ageing;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

  1. Buiter, Willem H, 1997. "Generational Accounts, Aggregate Saving and Intergenerational Distribution," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 64(256), pages 605-26, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Alan J. Auerbach, 1997. "Quantifying the Current U.S. Fiscal Imbalance," NBER Working Papers 6119, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Alan J. Auerbach & Jagadeesh Gokhale & Laurence J. Kotlikoff, 1991. "Generational Accounts - A Meaningful Alternative to Deficit Accounting," NBER Working Papers 3589, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Laurence J. Kotlikoff & Bernd Raffelhuschen, 1999. "Generational Accounting around the Globe," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 89(2), pages 161-166, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Joan Gil Trasfi & Concepcion Patxot Cardoner, 2000. "Viabilidad del sistema de pensiones y reformas por el lado de los ingresos: una aproximacion intergeneracional," Working Papers in Economics 64, Universitat de Barcelona. Espai de Recerca en Economia. [Downloadable!]
  6. Holger Bonin & Bernd Raffelhüschen & Jan Walliser, . "Can Immigration Alleviate the Demographic Burden?," EPRU Working Paper Series 99-17, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU), University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
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  7. Holger Bonin & Joan Gil & Concepció Patxot, 2001. "Beyond the Toledo agreement: the intergenerational impact of the Spanish Pension Reform," Spanish Economic Review, Springer, vol. 3(2), pages 111-130. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Haveman, Robert, 1994. "Should Generational Accounts Replace Public Budgets and Deficits?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 8(1), pages 95-111, Winter. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Auerbach, Alan J & Gokhale, Jagadeesh & Kotlikoff, Laurence J, 1992. " Generational Accounting: A New Approach to Understanding the Effects of Fiscal Policy on Saving," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 94(2), pages 303-18.
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  10. Raffelhuschen, B., 1999. "Generational Accounting in Europe," Norway; Department of Economics, University of Bergen 196, Department of Economics, University of Bergen.
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. M. Collado & Iñigo Iturbe-Ormaetxe & Guadalupe Valera, 2004. "Quantifying the Impact of Immigration on the Spanish Welfare State," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer, vol. 11(3), pages 335-353, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Fernando Fernández-Rodríguez & Christian González-Martel & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, . "Optimisation of Technical Rules by Genetic Algorithms: Evidence from the Madrid Stock Market," Working Papers 2001-14, FEDEA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Gemma Abio Roig & Joan Gil Trasfi & Concepcion Patxot Cardoner, 2005. "La Ley de Estabilidad Presupuestaria en el largo plazo: efecto del ciclo demografico," Working Papers in Economics 126, Universitat de Barcelona. Espai de Recerca en Economia. [Downloadable!]
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