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La Ley de Estabilidad Presupuestaria en el largo plazo: efecto del ciclo demografico

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  • Gemma Abio Roig
  • Joan Gil Trasfi
  • Concepcion Patxot Cardoner

    (Universitat de Barcelona)

Abstract

The present economic situation and the financial perspectives in the long term have originated a discussion about the convenience of the Spanish law of financial stability (Ley de Estabilidad Presupuestaria). This paper uses the generational accounting methodology in order to evaluate the intertemporal sustainability of the Spanish fiscal policy extending the horizon beyond the business cycle, taking into consideration the effects of the demographic cycle. Our results show that, although the process of fiscal consolidation has greatly improved the financial situation of the government, substantial implicit liabilities are still being translated to future generations.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Universitat de Barcelona. Espai de Recerca en Economia in its series Working Papers in Economics with number 126.

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Length: 33 pages
Date of creation: 2005
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bar:bedcje:2005126

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Postal: Espai de Recerca en Economia, Facultat de Ciències Econòmiques. Tinent Coronel Valenzuela, Num 1-11 08034 Barcelona. Spain.
Web page: http://www.ere.ub.es
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  1. Alan J. Auerbach & Jagadeesh Gokhale & Laurence J. Kotlikoff, 1991. "Generational Accounts: A Meaningful Alternative to Deficit Accounting," NBER Chapters, in: Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 5, pages 55-110 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Holger Bonin & Bernd Raffelhüschen & Jan Walliser, 2000. "Can Immigration Alleviate the Demographic Burden?," FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, Mohr Siebeck, Tübingen, vol. 57(1), pages 1-, September.
  3. Holger Bonin & Joan Gil & Concepció Patxot, . "Beyond the Toledo agreement: The intergenerational impact of the Spanish pension reform," Studies on the Spanish Economy 38, FEDEA.
  4. Alan J. Auerbach & Jagadeesh Gokhale & Laurence J. Kotlikoff, 1991. "Generational accounting: a new approach for understanding the effects of fiscal policy on saving," Working Paper 9107, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
  5. Bonin, Holger & Abio, Gemma & Berenguer, Eduardo & Gil, Joan & Patxot, Concepció, 2001. "Is the Deficit under Control?A Generational Accounting Perspective on Fiscal Policy and Labour Market Trends in Spain," IZA Discussion Papers 306, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  6. Kotlikoff, L.J. & Raffelhuschen, B., 1999. "Generational Accounting around the Globe," Norway; Department of Economics, University of Bergen 195, Department of Economics, University of Bergen.
  7. Alan J. Auerbach, 1997. "Quantifying the Current U.S. Fiscal Imbalance," NBER Working Papers 6119, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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