IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eme/jcefts/jcefts-07-2020-0029.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Does immiserizing growth exist? Evidence from world’s top trading nations

Author

Listed:
  • Syed Tehseen Jawaid
  • Mariya Ahmad Qureshi
  • Samra Ali

Abstract

Purpose - This study aims to motivate the reality that experiential investigation of immiserizing growth has not been performed at large. The key objective of the study is to analyse the empirical existence of immiserizing growth in the real world. Design/methodology/approach - Theory of revealed preferences has been implemented for welfare movement by using Laspeyres and Paasche quantity index and for empirical estimations, logistic regression has been applied. The study established panel data of the world’s largest trading nations, including the USA, China, France, Germany, UK, Italy, Japan, the Netherland and Canada. Annual time series data for an extensive time period covering from 1981 till 2017 have been used. Findings - Findings of the Laspeyres and Paasche index reveal that out of nine countries immiserizing growth prevails in five nations and those are Italy, Canada, the Netherland, UK and Japan. The results of panel logistic regression verify the significance of terms of trade on immiserizing growth in all included countries. Separate logistic regression has also been performed on all the five countries from which Italy, Canada, the Netherland exhibit significant results. Originality/value - This study is a pioneer attempt towards the concept of immiserizing growth. Considering the fact that immiserizing growth is viewed by the majority of the scholars as a theoretical notion, this study attempts to investigate analytically the existence of immiserizing growth with real data set. The impact of terms of trade deterioration on the welfare of the world’s largest trading nations has been focused on the research which is in compliance with the concept of Bhagwati (1958).

Suggested Citation

  • Syed Tehseen Jawaid & Mariya Ahmad Qureshi & Samra Ali, 2021. "Does immiserizing growth exist? Evidence from world’s top trading nations," Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 14(2), pages 124-148, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:eme:jcefts:jcefts-07-2020-0029
    DOI: 10.1108/JCEFTS-07-2020-0029
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JCEFTS-07-2020-0029/full/html?utm_source=repec&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=repec
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers

    File URL: https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JCEFTS-07-2020-0029/full/pdf?utm_source=repec&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=repec
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1108/JCEFTS-07-2020-0029?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mick Silver & Khashayar Mahdavy, 1989. "The Measurement of a Nation's Terms of Trade Effect and Real National Disposable Income Within a National Accounting Framework," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 152(1), pages 87-107, January.
    2. Yabuuchi, Shigemi, 1982. "A note on tariff-induced capital inflow and immiserization in the presence of taxation of foreign profits," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(1-2), pages 183-189, February.
    3. Krugman, Paul, 1989. "Differences in income elasticities and trends in real exchange rates," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 1031-1046, May.
    4. King, Gary & Zeng, Langche, 2001. "Logistic Regression in Rare Events Data," Political Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(2), pages 137-163, January.
    5. Timothy J. Kehoe & Kim J. Ruhl, 2008. "Are Shocks to the Terms of Trade Shocks to Productivity?," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 11(4), pages 804-819, October.
    6. Frederic L. Pryor, 2007. "Immiserizing Growth as Seen by Bhagwati, Samuelson, and Others," The Journal of Economic Education, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(2), pages 208-214, April.
    7. Dowrick, Steve & Quiggin, John, 1994. "International Comparisons of Living Standards and Tastes: A Revealed-Preference Analysis," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 84(1), pages 332-341, March.
    8. Yasuyuki Sawada, 2009. "The immiserizing growth: an empirical evaluation," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(13), pages 1613-1620.
    9. Partha Sen, 1998. "Terms of Trade and Welfare for a Developing Economy with an Imperfectly Competitive Sector," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 2(1), pages 87-93, February.
    10. H. W. Singer, 1975. "The Distribution of Gains between Investing and Borrowing Countries," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: The Strategy of International Development, chapter 3, pages 43-57, Palgrave Macmillan.
    11. Nabil Alimi & Nabil Aflouk, 2017. "Terms-of-trade shocks and macroeconomic volatility in developing countries: panel smooth transition regression models," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(5), pages 534-551, July.
    12. Marshall B. Reinsdorf, 2010. "Terms Of Trade Effects: Theory And Measurement," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 56(s1), pages 177-205, June.
    13. Chang, Gene Hsin, 1991. "Immiserizing growth in centrally planned economies," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 711-717, December.
    14. Bertrand, T. J. & Flatters, F., 1971. "Tariffs, capital accumulation and immiserizing growth," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 1(4), pages 453-460, November.
    15. Hamada, Koichi, 1974. "An economic analysis of the duty-free zone," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 4(3), pages 225-241, August.
    16. Alberto Dalmazzo & Guido Blasio, 2007. "Production and consumption externalities of human capital: an empirical study for Italy," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 20(2), pages 359-382, April.
    17. Everett E. Hagen, 1958. "An Economic Justification of Protectionism," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 72(4), pages 496-514.
    18. Prebisch, Raúl, 2016. "The Economic Development Of Latin America," Libros y Documentos Institucionales, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 43902.
    19. Brecher, Richard A. & Diaz Alejandro, Carlos F., 1977. "Tariffs, foreign capital and immiserizing growth," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(4), pages 317-322, November.
    20. Batra, Raveendra & Scully, Gerald W., 1971. "The theory of wage differentials: Welfare and immiserizing growth," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 1(2), pages 241-247, May.
    21. Martin, Ricardo, 1977. "Immiserizing growth for a tariff-distorted, small economy : Further analysis," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(4), pages 323-328, November.
    22. Kevin Fox & Ulrich Kohli, 1998. "GDP growth, terms-of-trade effects, and total factor productivity," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(1), pages 87-110.
    23. Stefan P.T. Groot & Henri L.F. Groot & Martijn J. Smit, 2014. "Regional Wage Differences In The Netherlands: Micro Evidence On Agglomeration Externalities," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 54(3), pages 503-523, June.
    24. Tindara Addabbo & Donata Favaro, 2011. "Gender wage differentials by education in Italy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(29), pages 4589-4605.
    25. David Collie, 2012. "Immiserizing Growth and the Metzler Paradox in the Ricardian Model," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(1), pages 141-154, November.
    26. Peitchinis, S G, 1969. "Occupational Wage Differentials in Canada 1939-1965," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 8(12), pages 20-40, June.
    27. Frederic L. Pryor, 1966. "Economic Growth And The Terms Of Trade," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 18(1), pages 45-57.
    28. Jun Ruan & Munisamy Gopinath, 2010. "Technological convergence, competitiveness, and welfare: A study of international manufacturing industries," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(4), pages 517-551.
    29. Bandyopadhyay, Subhayu, 1996. "Growth, welfare and optimal trade taxes: a fallacy of composition," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(2), pages 369-380, August.
    30. Todorova, Tamara, 2010. "World Demand as a Determinant of Immiserizing Growth," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 2(3), pages 255-267.
    31. Jagdish Bhagwati, 1958. "Immiserizing Growth: A Geometrical Note," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 25(3), pages 201-205.
    32. Joel L. Horowitz & N. E. Savin, 2001. "Binary Response Models: Logits, Probits and Semiparametrics," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 15(4), pages 43-56, Fall.
    33. Serge Svizzero, 2015. "Trade, immiserising growth and the long-term neolithisation process of the Pitted Ware Culture," Post-Print hal-02148984, HAL.
    34. J. N. Bhagwati, 1969. "The Generalized Theory of Distortions and Welfare," Working papers 39, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics.
    35. Oosterbeek, Hessel & van Praag, Mirjam, 1995. "Firm-Size Wage Differentials in the Netherlands," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 7(3), pages 173-182, June.
    36. Krugman, Paul R., 1979. "Increasing returns, monopolistic competition, and international trade," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 469-479, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Todorova, Tamara, 2010. "World Demand as a Determinant of Immiserizing Growth," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 2(3), pages 255-267.
    2. Nicholas Oulton, 2021. "The effect of changes in the terms of trade on GDP and welfare: a Divisia approach to the SNA," Discussion Papers 2126, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    3. Yasuyuki Sawada, 2009. "The immiserizing growth: an empirical evaluation," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(13), pages 1613-1620.
    4. Nicholas Oulton, 2023. "The effect of changes in the terms of trade on GDP and welfare: A Divisia approach to the System of National Accounts," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 91(4), pages 261-282, July.
    5. Biswas, Rajit, 2014. "Metzler paradox and home market effects in presence of internationally mobile capital and non-traded goods," MPRA Paper 56335, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Sgro, Pasquale M., 1983. "A Selective Review of Developments in International Trade Theory: Commercial Policy and Free Trade," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 51(01), pages 1-20, April.
    7. Srinivasan, T.N., 1986. "International Trade and Factor Movements in Development Theory, Policy, and Experience," 1986: Trade and Development Meeting, December 1986, CIMMYT, Mexico City, Mexico 50651, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    8. Ziran Ding, 2021. "Optimal Tariffs with Firm Heterogeneity, Variable Markups, and FDI," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 99, Bank of Lithuania.
    9. Chakraborty, Brati Sankar, 2001. "Welfare consequence of capital inflow for a small tariff-protected economy," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1), pages 305-316, October.
    10. Serge Svizzero, 2015. "Trade, immiserising growth and the long-term neolithisation process of the Pitted Ware Culture," Post-Print hal-02148984, HAL.
    11. Hoekman, Bernard & Saggi, Kamal, 1999. "Multilateral disciplines for investment-related policies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2138, The World Bank.
    12. Kim, Kwan S., 1997. "Income distribution and poverty: An interregional comparison," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 25(11), pages 1909-1924, November.
    13. Bharat Hazari, 1978. "The theory of wage differentials, induced technical progress and the pure theory of International trade," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 114(1), pages 146-159, March.
    14. Vahagn Galstyan & Philip R. Lane, 2008. "External Imbalances and the Extensive Margin of Trade," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 37(3), pages 241-257, November.
    15. Nicholas Outlon, 2019. "GDP is a measure of output, not welfare. Or, HOS meets the SNA," Discussion Papers 1906, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    16. Grossman, Gene M., 1984. "The gains from international factor movements," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(1-2), pages 73-83, August.
    17. Branger, Nicole & Grüning, Patrick & Schlag, Christian, 2016. "Commodities, financialization, and heterogeneous agents," SAFE Working Paper Series 131, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    18. Bilge Erten, 2010. "Industrial Upgrading and Export Diversification: A Comparative Analysis of Economic Policies in Turkey and Malaysia," Working Papers id:2778, eSocialSciences.
    19. repec:lan:wpaper:3064 is not listed on IDEAS
    20. Hamano, Masashige, 2022. "International risk sharing with heterogeneous firms," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    21. T. N. Srinivasan & Jagdish Bhagwati, 2001. "Outward-Orientation and Development: Are Revisionists Right?," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Deepak Lal & Richard H. Snape (ed.), Trade, Development and Political Economy, chapter 1, pages 3-26, Palgrave Macmillan.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eme:jcefts:jcefts-07-2020-0029. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Emerald Support (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.