IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/trapol/v106y2021icp64-75.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Public-private partnership in high-speed rail financing: Case of uncertain regional economic spillovers in China

Author

Listed:
  • Huang, Yuxia
  • Jiang, Chenxin
  • Wang, Kun
  • Xiao, Yibin
  • Zhang, Anming

Abstract

This paper sets up an integrated economic model to analyze an optimal public-private partnership (PPP) in financing a high-speed rail (HSR) project. The model considers the HSR's spillover onto the regional economy, which is uncertain in terms of both the direction (i.e., benefiting or harming the regional economy) and magnitude. The optimal private ownership is found to increase with the expected value of the marginal economic spillover of HSR traffic. In view of the risk sharing, the government also raises the private ownership when there is a higher uncertainty concerning the marginal spillover. However, when either the expected value of the marginal spillover or its uncertainty gets too high, the government may choose not to adopt PPP, but rather to entirely finance HSR projects with public funds. Essentially, in this case, PPP would require too much private ownership and as a result, seriously reduce social welfare. Finally, we apply our analytical results to offer an explanation for why China has so far implemented PPP for HSR construction only in its eastern/coastal regions.

Suggested Citation

  • Huang, Yuxia & Jiang, Chenxin & Wang, Kun & Xiao, Yibin & Zhang, Anming, 2021. "Public-private partnership in high-speed rail financing: Case of uncertain regional economic spillovers in China," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 64-75.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:106:y:2021:i:c:p:64-75
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2021.03.016
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0967070X21000780
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.tranpol.2021.03.016?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wan, Yulai & Ha, Hun-Koo & Yoshida, Yuichiro & Zhang, Anming, 2016. "Airlines’ reaction to high-speed rail entries: Empirical study of the Northeast Asian market," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 532-557.
    2. Button, Kenneth, 2012. "Is there any economic justification for high-speed railways in the United States?," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 300-302.
    3. Wang, Kun & Xia, Wenyi & Zhang, Anming, 2017. "Should China further expand its high-speed rail network? Consider the low-cost carrier factor," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 105-120.
    4. Zhang, Anming & Wan, Yulai & Yang, Hangjun, 2019. "Impacts of high-speed rail on airlines, airports and regional economies: A survey of recent research," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1-19.
    5. Jiang, Changmin & Zhang, Anming, 2014. "Effects of high-speed rail and airline cooperation under hub airport capacity constraint," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 33-49.
    6. Jeffrey Clemens & Stan Veuger, 2020. "Implications of the COVID-19 Pandemic for State Government Tax Revenues," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association;National Tax Journal, vol. 73(3), pages 619-644, September.
    7. Komei Sasaki & Tadahiro Ohashi & Asao Ando, 1997. "High-speed rail transit impact on regional systems: does the Shinkansen contribute to dispersion?," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 31(1), pages 77-98.
    8. Chen, Zhenhua & Haynes, Kingsley E., 2017. "Impact of high-speed rail on regional economic disparity in China," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 80-91.
    9. Liu, Shuli & Wan, Yulai & Zhang, Anming, 2020. "Does China’s high-speed rail development lead to regional disparities? A network perspective," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 299-321.
    10. Xiaowen Fu & Anming Zhang, 2010. "Effects of Airport Concession Revenue Sharing on Airline Competition and Social Welfare," Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, University of Bath, vol. 44(2), pages 119-138, May.
    11. Bracaglia, Valentina & D'Alfonso, Tiziana & Nastasi, Alberto & Sheng, Dian & Wan, Yulai & Zhang, Anming, 2020. "High-speed rail networks, capacity investments and social welfare," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 308-323.
    12. Yu Qin, 2017. "‘No county left behind?’ The distributional impact of high-speed rail upgrades in China," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 17(3), pages 489-520.
    13. Verma, Ashish & Sudhira, H.S. & Rathi, Sujaya & King, Robin & Dash, Nibedita, 2013. "Sustainable urbanization using high speed rail (HSR) in Karnataka, India," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 67-77.
    14. Charanwanitwong, Thanaphon & Fraszczyk, Anna, 2018. "Rail liberalisation in Europe and lessons for Thailand: Policy makers vs. academic views," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 421-440.
    15. Marco Di Pietro & Luigi Marattin & Raoul Minetti, 2020. "Fiscal Policies Amid a Pandemic: The Response of Italy to the COVID-19 Crisis," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association;National Tax Journal, vol. 73(3), pages 927-950, September.
    16. Zhu, Zhenran & Zhang, Anming & Zhang, Yahua, 2018. "Connectivity of intercity passenger transportation in China: A multi-modal and network approach," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 263-276.
    17. repec:aei:rpaper:1008570714 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Wang, Kun & Jiang, Changmin & Ng, Adolf K.Y. & Zhu, Zhenran, 2020. "Air and rail connectivity patterns of major city clusters in China," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 35-53.
    19. Wang, Kun & Xia, Wenyi & Zhang, Anming & Zhang, Qiong, 2018. "Effects of train speed on airline demand and price: Theory and empirical evidence from a natural experiment," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 99-130.
    20. Nirvikar Singh & Xavier Vives, 1984. "Price and Quantity Competition in a Differentiated Duopoly," RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 15(4), pages 546-554, Winter.
    21. Fu, Xiaowen & Zhang, Anming & Lei, Zheng, 2012. "Will China’s airline industry survive the entry of high-speed rail?," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 13-25.
    22. Dehornoy, Julien, 2012. "PPPs in the rail sector - A review of 27 projects," MPRA Paper 38415, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Li, Hao & Guo, Huanxiu, 2021. "Spatial spillovers of pollution via high-speed rail network in China," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 138-152.
    2. Rategh, Yalda & Tamannaei, Mohammad & Zarei, Hamid, 2022. "A game-theoretic approach to an oligopolistic transportation market: Coopetition between incumbent systems subject to the entrance threat of an HSR service," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 144-171.
    3. Wang, Yixiao & Pels, Eric & Teunter, Ruud H. & Sun, Luoyi & Wu, Jianhong, 2023. "Railway liberalization, airport congestion toll, and infrastructure pricing: Modelling and numerical analysis for European and Chinese markets," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    4. Bugalia, Nikhil & Maemura, Yu & Dasari, Rohit & Patidar, Manoj, 2023. "A system dynamics model for effective management strategies of High-Speed Railway (HSR) projects involving private sector participation," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    5. Nannan Yu & Tianhang Cui & Si Lv, 2023. "Does the High-Speed Rail Improve Employment in Peripheral Cities? Evidence From China’s Beijing–Shanghai HSR Line," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(4), pages 21582440231, December.
    6. Liu, Jingyang & Yang, Haoran, 2023. "Income allocation and distribution along with high-speed rail development in China," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    7. Li, Tao & Rong, Lili, 2021. "Impacts of service feature on vulnerability analysis of high-speed rail network," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 238-253.
    8. Xiao, Zengqi & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee, 2022. "Effects of project-specific government involvement actions on the attractiveness of port public-private partnerships among private investors," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 59-69.
    9. Meng, Xia & Ding, Tao & Wang, Haisen, 2023. "Incentives for local government expenditures on people’s livelihood: the role of high-speed rail," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    10. Zhang, Yilin & Zhang, Anming & Wang, Kun & Zheng, Shiyuan & Yang, Hangjun & Hong, Junjie, 2023. "Impact of CR Express and intermodal freight transport competition on China-Europe Route: Emission and welfare implications," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chen, Yilin & Yang, Hangjun & Wang, Kun & Guo, Lin, 2022. "Intercity network expansion by low-cost carrier or high-speed rail, from the environmental perspective," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    2. Zhang, Anming & Wan, Yulai & Yang, Hangjun, 2019. "Impacts of high-speed rail on airlines, airports and regional economies: A survey of recent research," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1-19.
    3. Sun, Xinyu & Yan, Sen & Liu, Tao & Wang, Jiayin, 2023. "The impact of high-speed rail on urban economy: Synergy with urban agglomeration policy," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 141-154.
    4. Wang, Chunan & Jiang, Changmin & Zhang, Anming, 2021. "Effects of Airline Entry on High-Speed Rail," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 242-265.
    5. Li, Tao & Rong, Lili, 2022. "Spatiotemporally complementary effect of high-speed rail network on robustness of aviation network," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 95-114.
    6. Gu, Hongyi & Wan, Yulai, 2020. "Can entry of high-speed rail increase air traffic? Price competition, travel time difference and catchment expansion," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 55-72.
    7. Xia, Wenyi & Jiang, Changmin & Wang, Kun & Zhang, Anming, 2019. "Air-rail revenue sharing in a multi-airport system: Effects on traffic and social welfare," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 304-319.
    8. Ren, Xiaohang & Zeng, Gudian & Dong, Kangyin & Wang, Kun, 2023. "How does high-speed rail affect tourism development? The case of the Sichuan-Chongqing Economic Circle," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    9. Wang, Wei & Sun, Huijun & Wu, Jianjun, 2020. "How does the decision of high-speed rail operator affect social welfare? Considering competition between high-speed rail and air transport," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 1-15.
    10. Liu, Shuli & Wan, Yulai & Zhang, Anming, 2020. "Does China’s high-speed rail development lead to regional disparities? A network perspective," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 299-321.
    11. Zhang, Qiong & Yang, Hangjun & Wang, Qiang & Zhang, Anming & Zhang, Yahua, 2020. "Impact of high-speed rail on market concentration and Lerner index in China's airline market," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    12. Li, Hongchang & Wang, Kun & Yu, Kemei & Zhang, Anming, 2020. "Are conventional train passengers underserved after entry of high-speed rail?-Evidence from Chinese intercity markets," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 1-9.
    13. Wang, Lei, 2018. "High-speed rail services development and regional accessibility restructuring in megaregions: A case of the Yangtze River Delta, China," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 34-44.
    14. Jiang, Changmin & Wang, Chunan, 2021. "High-speed rail pricing: Implications for social welfare," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    15. Jiang, Mei & Jiang, Changmin & Xiao, Yi-bin & Wang, Chunan, 2021. "Air-HSR cooperation: Impacts on service frequency and environment," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    16. Liu, Shuli & Wan, Yulai & Ha, Hun-Koo & Yoshida, Yuichiro & Zhang, Anming, 2019. "Impact of high-speed rail network development on airport traffic and traffic distribution: Evidence from China and Japan," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 115-135.
    17. Li, Zhi-Chun & Tu, Ningwen & Fu, Xiaowen & Sheng, Dian, 2022. "Modeling the effects of airline and high-speed rail cooperation on multi-airport systems: The implications on congestion, competition and social welfare," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 448-478.
    18. Wang, Kun & Jiang, Changmin & Ng, Adolf K.Y. & Zhu, Zhenran, 2020. "Air and rail connectivity patterns of major city clusters in China," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 35-53.
    19. Zhang, Fangni & Yang, Zhiwei & Jiao, Jingjuan & Liu, Wei & Wu, Wenjie, 2020. "The effects of high-speed rail development on regional equity in China," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 180-202.
    20. Wang, Jiaoe & Huang, Jie & Jing, Yue, 2020. "Competition between high-speed trains and air travel in China: From a spatial to spatiotemporal perspective," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 62-78.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:106:y:2021:i:c:p:64-75. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/30473/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.