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Energy security and RES penetration in a growing decarbonized economy in the era of the 4th industrial revolution

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  • Bigerna, Simona
  • D’Errico, Maria Chiara
  • Polinori, Paolo

Abstract

The 4th industrial revolution is expected to deeply transform the functioning of the global economy, society, and financial system. It has already triggered several challenges and opportunities for the energy sector. In this context, a secure energy supply is one of the most important factors of international economic activity and technological revolution. This study explores the link between economic growth based on the 4th industrial revolution and energy security. To this end, we use data from the European Union countries for the period 2005–2019. We also use the gross domestic product and energy security indicators as outputs of a ray production function whose inefficiencies can be explained by the share of their fossil and renewable energy. We develop a multiple-output production model using a ray production function with polar coordinates allowing for the estimation of production frontiers and country-specific inefficiency effects. Using the multiple-output production function along with different energy security indicators, we can explore how the energy system endorses economic growth, which is crucial to addressing policy designs from the perspective of the 4th industrial revolution. Forecast analysis confirms that renewable energy sources have positive effects and reduce deviations from the efficient frontier.

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  • Bigerna, Simona & D’Errico, Maria Chiara & Polinori, Paolo, 2021. "Energy security and RES penetration in a growing decarbonized economy in the era of the 4th industrial revolution," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:166:y:2021:i:c:s0040162521000809
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2021.120648
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    2. Maciej Ciołek & Izabela Emerling & Katarzyna Olejko & Beata Sadowska & Magdalena Wójcik-Jurkiewicz, 2022. "Assumptions of the Energy Policy of the Country versus Investment Outlays Related to the Purchase of Alternative Fuels: Poland as a Case Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-18, March.
    3. Long, Yilu & Tang, Ming & Liao, Huchang, 2022. "Renewable energy source technology selection considering the empathetic preferences of experts in a cognitive fuzzy social participatory allocation network," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    4. Jin Kuang & Tse-Chen Chang & Chia-Wei Chu, 2022. "Research on Financial Early Warning Based on Combination Forecasting Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-16, September.
    5. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Wang, Chang-song, 2022. "Financial development, technological innovation and energy security: Evidence from Chinese provincial experience," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    6. Wang, Kai-Hua & Zhao, Yan-Xin & Su, Yun Hsuan & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2023. "Energy security and CO2 emissions: New evidence from time-varying and quantile-varying aspects," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 273(C).
    7. De Rosa, Mattia & Gainsford, Kenneth & Pallonetto, Fabiano & Finn, Donal P., 2022. "Diversification, concentration and renewability of the energy supply in the European Union," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
    8. Zhang, Mingming & Zhou, Simei & Wang, Qunwei & Liu, Liyun & Zhou, Dequn, 2023. "Will the carbon neutrality target impact China's energy security? A dynamic Bayesian network model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    9. Zhang, Tao & Li, Hong-Zhou & Xie, Bai-Chen, 2022. "Have renewables and market-oriented reforms constrained the technical efficiency improvement of China's electric grid utilities?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    4th Industrial Revolution; Energy Security; Renewable Energy Sources; Economic Growth; Panel Models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • O1 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development
    • Q42 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Alternative Energy Sources
    • Q49 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Other

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