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A geographical and multi-criteria vulnerability assessment of transportation networks against extreme earthquakes

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  • Kermanshah, A.
  • Derrible, S.

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to provide a geographical and multi-criteria vulnerability assessment method to quantify the impacts of extreme earthquakes on road networks. The method is applied to two US cities, Los Angeles and San Francisco, both of which are susceptible to severe seismic activities. Aided by the recent proliferation of data and the wide adoption of Geography Information Systems (GIS), we use a data-driven approach using USGS ShakeMaps to determine vulnerable locations in road networks. To simulate the extreme earthquake, we remove road sections within “very strong†intensities provided by USGS. Subsequently, we measure vulnerability as a percentage drop in four families of metrics: overall properties (length of remaining system); topological indicators (betweenness centrality); accessibility; and travel demand using Longitudinal Employment Household Dynamics (LEHD) data. The various metrics are then plotted on a Vulnerability Surface (VS), from which the area can be assimilated to an overall vulnerability indicator. This VS approach offers a simple and pertinent method to capture the impacts of extreme earthquake. It can also be useful to planners to assess the robustness of various alternative scenarios in their plans to ensure that cities located in seismic areas are better prepared to face severe earthquakes.

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  • Kermanshah, A. & Derrible, S., 2016. "A geographical and multi-criteria vulnerability assessment of transportation networks against extreme earthquakes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 39-49.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:153:y:2016:i:c:p:39-49
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2016.04.007
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    11. Liangjie Yang & Hainan Yang & Xueyan Zhao & Yongchun Yang, 2022. "Study on Urban Resilience from the Perspective of the Complex Adaptive System Theory: A Case Study of the Lanzhou-Xining Urban Agglomeration," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(20), pages 1-18, October.
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    16. Sedigheh Meimandi Parizi & Mohammad Taleai & Ayyoob Sharifi, 2021. "Integrated methods to determine urban physical resilience characteristics and their interactions," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 109(1), pages 725-754, October.
    17. Lu, Qing-Chang & Xu, Peng-Cheng & Zhang, Jingxiao, 2021. "Infrastructure-based transportation network vulnerability modeling and analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 584(C).
    18. Rodelia Sansano & Makoto Chikaraishi, 2022. "Exploring Natural and Social Factors Affecting Road Disruption Patterns and the Duration of Recovery: A Case from Hiroshima, Japan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-15, September.
    19. Khademi, Navid & Babaei, Mohsen & Schmöcker, Jan-Dirk & Fani, Amirhossein, 2018. "Analysis of incident costs in a vulnerable sparse rail network – Description and Iran case study," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 9-27.
    20. Bagloee, Saeed Asadi & Sarvi, Majid & Wolshon, Brian & Dixit, Vinayak, 2017. "Identifying critical disruption scenarios and a global robustness index tailored to real life road networks," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 60-81.
    21. Cao, Xinhu & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee, 2018. "Simulation-based catastrophe-induced port loss estimation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 1-12.
    22. Amirhassan Kermanshah & Sybil Derrible, 2017. "Robustness of road systems to extreme flooding: using elements of GIS, travel demand, and network science," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 86(1), pages 151-164, March.
    23. Hong, Liu & Ye, Bowen & Yan, Han & Zhang, Hui & Ouyang, Min & (Sean) He, Xiaozheng, 2019. "Spatiotemporal vulnerability analysis of railway systems with heterogeneous train flows," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 725-744.
    24. Robert Manduca, 2018. "The US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics Datasets," REGION, European Regional Science Association, vol. 5, pages 5-12.

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