IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v586y2022ics0378437121007275.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Scheduling wheel inspection for sustainable urban rail transit operation: A Bayesian approach

Author

Listed:
  • Huang, Zhaodong
  • Chien, Steven
  • Zhu, Wei
  • Zheng, Pengjun

Abstract

Scheduling the wheel inspection is critical to ensure the safety and sustainability of urban rail transit (URT) operation. The common wheel inspection is conducted on a fixed-interval basis, determined by empirical practices. However, the relationship between the distance of wheel travel and wheel wearing condition subject to track alignment is uncertain. A Bayesian model is developed to schedule the timings of wheel inspections which meet the safety thresholds for sustainable train operation. In the case study, the historic wheel inspection data of a real-world URT line was collected and analyzed, which indicates that wheel reprofiling follows a Weibull distribution. The suggested wheel inspection plan by the proposed model is compared with fix-interval inspection. The results show that the inspection frequency can be significantly reduced before yielding 180,900 km wheel travel, which satisfies the wheel reliability as 0.95.

Suggested Citation

  • Huang, Zhaodong & Chien, Steven & Zhu, Wei & Zheng, Pengjun, 2022. "Scheduling wheel inspection for sustainable urban rail transit operation: A Bayesian approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 586(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:586:y:2022:i:c:s0378437121007275
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2021.126454
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437121007275
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2021.126454?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jiang, Xiaomo & Yuan, Yong & Liu, Xian, 2013. "Bayesian inference method for stochastic damage accumulation modeling," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 126-138.
    2. Aquaro, V. & Bardoscia, M. & Bellotti, R. & Consiglio, A. & De Carlo, F. & Ferri, G., 2010. "A Bayesian Networks approach to Operational Risk," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(8), pages 1721-1728.
    3. David J. Spiegelhalter & Nicola G. Best & Bradley P. Carlin & Angelika Van Der Linde, 2002. "Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 64(4), pages 583-639, October.
    4. Arjunwadkar, Mihir & Fasnacht, Marc & Kadane, Joseph B. & Swendsen, Robert H., 2003. "A Bayesian analysis of Monte Carlo correlation times for the two-dimensional Ising model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 323(C), pages 487-503.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Buddhavarapu, Prasad & Bansal, Prateek & Prozzi, Jorge A., 2021. "A new spatial count data model with time-varying parameters," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 566-586.
    2. Mumtaz, Haroon & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2017. "Common and country specific economic uncertainty," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 205-216.
    3. Christina Leuker & Thorsten Pachur & Ralph Hertwig & Timothy J. Pleskac, 2019. "Do people exploit risk–reward structures to simplify information processing in risky choice?," Journal of the Economic Science Association, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 5(1), pages 76-94, August.
    4. Rubio, F.J. & Steel, M.F.J., 2011. "Inference for grouped data with a truncated skew-Laplace distribution," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(12), pages 3218-3231, December.
    5. Alessandri, Piergiorgio & Mumtaz, Haroon, 2019. "Financial regimes and uncertainty shocks," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 31-46.
    6. Svetlana V. Tishkovskaya & Paul G. Blackwell, 2021. "Bayesian estimation of heterogeneous environments from animal movement data," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(6), September.
    7. Leonardo Oliveira Martins & Hirohisa Kishino, 2010. "Distribution of distances between topologies and its effect on detection of phylogenetic recombination," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 62(1), pages 145-159, February.
    8. Tamal Ghosh & Malay Ghosh & Jerry J. Maples & Xueying Tang, 2022. "Multivariate Global-Local Priors for Small Area Estimation," Stats, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-16, July.
    9. Eibich, Peter & Ziebarth, Nicolas, 2014. "Examining the Structure of Spatial Health Effects in Germany Using Hierarchical Bayes Models," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 49, pages 305-320.
    10. Wu, Ji & Guo, Mengmeng & Chen, Minghua & Jeon, Bang Nam, 2019. "Market power and risk-taking of banks: Some semiparametric evidence from emerging economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    11. repec:jss:jstsof:21:i08 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Deng, Yaguo & Lopes Moreira Da Veiga, María Helena & Wiper, Michael Peter, 2016. "Efficiency evaluation of Spanish hotel chains," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 23897, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    13. Cathy W. S. Chen & Sangyeol Lee, 2017. "Bayesian causality test for integer-valued time series models with applications to climate and crime data," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 66(4), pages 797-814, August.
    14. Makoto Chikaraishi & Akimasa Fujiwara & Junyi Zhang & Kay Axhausen, 2011. "Identifying variations and co-variations in discrete choice models," Transportation, Springer, vol. 38(6), pages 993-1016, November.
    15. Galatia Cleanthous & Emilio Porcu & Philip White, 2021. "Regularity and approximation of Gaussian random fields evolving temporally over compact two-point homogeneous spaces," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 30(4), pages 836-860, December.
    16. Baños-Pino, José F. & Boto-García, David & Zapico, Emma, 2021. "Persistence and dynamics in the efficiency of toll motorways: The Spanish case," Efficiency Series Papers 2021/03, University of Oviedo, Department of Economics, Oviedo Efficiency Group (OEG).
    17. Xing Ju Lee & Christopher C. Drovandi & Anthony N. Pettitt, 2015. "Model choice problems using approximate Bayesian computation with applications to pathogen transmission data sets," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 71(1), pages 198-207, March.
    18. Chaix, Basile & Jouven, Xavier & Thomas, Frédérique & Leal, Cinira & Billaudeau, Nathalie & Bean, Kathy & Kestens, Yan & Jëgo, Bertrand & Pannier, Bruno & Danchin, Nicolas, 2011. "Why socially deprived populations have a faster resting heart rate: Impact of behaviour, life course anthropometry, and biology – the RECORD Cohort Study," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 73(10), pages 1543-1550.
    19. Emilio Augusto Coelho-Barros & Jorge Alberto Achcar & Josmar Mazucheli, 2010. "Longitudinal Poisson modeling: an application for CD4 counting in HIV-infected patients," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(5), pages 865-880.
    20. Mayer Alvo & Jingrui Mu, 2023. "COVID-19 Data Analysis Using Bayesian Models and Nonparametric Geostatistical Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-13, March.
    21. Ye, Mao & Lu, Zhao-Hua & Li, Yimei & Song, Xinyuan, 2019. "Finite mixture of varying coefficient model: Estimation and component selection," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 452-474.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:586:y:2022:i:c:s0378437121007275. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.