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A discrete mathematical model for chaotic dynamics in economics: Kaldor’s model on business cycle

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  • Orlando, Giuseppe

Abstract

This paper, following Kaldor’s approach, is written with the intention of interpreting fluctuations of economic systems (i.e trade cycles). In particular, a new discretized Kaldor model is proposed, which is also useful to explain what appears to be random and unpredictable, such as economic shocks. Moreover, by using numerical analysis, the chaoticity of the model is demonstrated.

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  • Orlando, Giuseppe, 2016. "A discrete mathematical model for chaotic dynamics in economics: Kaldor’s model on business cycle," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 83-98.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:matcom:v:125:y:2016:i:c:p:83-98
    DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2016.01.001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Victor Zarnowitz, 1992. "Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number zarn92-1, March.
    2. Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tversky, 2013. "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & William T Ziemba (ed.), HANDBOOK OF THE FUNDAMENTALS OF FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING Part I, chapter 6, pages 99-127, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    3. Agliari, Anna & Dieci, Roberto & Gardini, Laura, 2007. "Homoclinic tangles in a Kaldor-like business cycle model," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 62(3), pages 324-347, March.
    4. A. Krawiec & M. Szydlowski, 1999. "The Kaldor‐Kalecki business cycle model," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 89(0), pages 89-100, January.
    5. W. W. Chang & D. J. Smyth, 1971. "The Existence and Persistence of Cycles in a Non-linear Model: Kaldor's 1940 Model Re-examined," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 38(1), pages 37-44.
    6. Kydland, Finn E & Prescott, Edward C, 1982. "Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(6), pages 1345-1370, November.
    7. H. Rose, 1967. "On the Non-Linear Theory of the Employment Cycle," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 34(2), pages 153-173.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Willi Semmler & Fabio Della Rossa & Giuseppe Orlando & Gabriel R. Padro Rosario & Levent Kockesen, 2023. "Endogenous Economic Resilience, Loss of Resilience, Persistent Cycles, Multiple Attractors, and Disruptive Contractions," Working Papers 2309, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
    2. De Cesare, Luigi & Sportelli, Mario, 2022. "A non-linear approach to Kalecki’s investment cycle," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 57-70.
    3. Giuseppe Orlando & Fabio Della Rossa, 2019. "An Empirical Test on Harrod’s Open Economy Dynamics," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 7(6), pages 1-13, June.
    4. Muhamad Deni Johansyah & Aceng Sambas & Saleh Mobayen & Behrouz Vaseghi & Saad Fawzi Al-Azzawi & Sukono & Ibrahim Mohammed Sulaiman, 2022. "Dynamical Analysis and Adaptive Finite-Time Sliding Mode Control Approach of the Financial Fractional-Order Chaotic System," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-14, December.
    5. Gao, Wei & Yan, Li & Saeedi, Mohammadhossein & Saberi Nik, Hassan, 2018. "Ultimate bound estimation set and chaos synchronization for a financial risk system," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 19-33.
    6. Orlando, Giuseppe & Bufalo, Michele, 2022. "Modelling bursts and chaos regularization in credit risk with a deterministic nonlinear model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    7. Giuseppe Orlando & Giovanna Zimatore, 2021. "Recurrence Quantification Analysis of Business Cycles," Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance, in: Giuseppe Orlando & Alexander N. Pisarchik & Ruedi Stoop (ed.), Nonlinearities in Economics, chapter 0, pages 269-282, Springer.

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