IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jotrge/v83y2020ics096669231930568x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Annual average daily traffic estimation in England and Wales: An application of clustering and regression modelling

Author

Listed:
  • Sfyridis, Alexandros
  • Agnolucci, Paolo

Abstract

Collection of Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) is of major importance for a number of applications in road transport urban and environmental studies. However, traffic measurements are undertaken only for a part of the road network with minor roads usually excluded. This paper suggests a methodology to estimate AADT in England and Wales applicable across the full road network, so that traffic for both major and minor roads can be approximated. This is achieved by consolidating clustering and regression modelling and using a comprehensive set of variables related to roadway, socioeconomic and land use characteristics. The methodological output reveals traffic patterns across urban and rural areas as well as produces accurate results for all road classes. Support Vector Regression (SVR) and Random Forest (RF) are found to outperform the traditional Linear Regression, although the findings suggest that data clustering is key for significant reduction in prediction errors.

Suggested Citation

  • Sfyridis, Alexandros & Agnolucci, Paolo, 2020. "Annual average daily traffic estimation in England and Wales: An application of clustering and regression modelling," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jotrge:v:83:y:2020:i:c:s096669231930568x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2020.102658
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S096669231930568X
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2020.102658?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Shoup, Donald C., 2006. "Cruising for parking," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 13(6), pages 479-486, November.
    2. Gutiérrez, Javier & Cardozo, Osvaldo Daniel & García-Palomares, Juan Carlos, 2011. "Transit ridership forecasting at station level: an approach based on distance-decay weighted regression," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 19(6), pages 1081-1092.
    3. Arnott, Richard & Williams, Parker, 2017. "Cruising for parking around a circle," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 357-375.
    4. Eren Inci & Jos van Ommeren & Martijn Kobus, 2017. "The external cruising costs of parking," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 17(6), pages 1301-1323.
    5. Arnott, Richard & Inci, Eren, 2006. "An integrated model of downtown parking and traffic congestion," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(3), pages 418-442, November.
    6. Shoup, Donald C., 2006. "Cruising for Parking," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt55s7079f, University of California Transportation Center.
    7. Kelly, J. Andrew & Clinch, J. Peter, 2009. "Temporal variance of revealed preference on-street parking price elasticity," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 193-199, August.
    8. Kaveh Jahanshahi & Ying Jin, 2016. "The built environment typologies in the UK and their influences on travel behaviour: new evidence through latent categorisation in structural equation modelling," Transportation Planning and Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(1), pages 59-77, February.
    9. de Abreu e Silva, João & Morency, Catherine & Goulias, Konstadinos G., 2012. "Using structural equations modeling to unravel the influence of land use patterns on travel behavior of workers in Montreal," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 46(8), pages 1252-1264.
    10. Noelia Caceres & Luis M. Romero & Francisco J. Morales & Antonio Reyes & Francisco G. Benitez, 2018. "Estimating traffic volumes on intercity road locations using roadway attributes, socioeconomic features and other work-related activity characteristics," Transportation, Springer, vol. 45(5), pages 1449-1473, September.
    11. Selby, Brent & Kockelman, Kara M., 2013. "Spatial prediction of traffic levels in unmeasured locations: applications of universal kriging and geographically weighted regression," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 24-32.
    12. Hesse, Markus, 2013. "Cities and flows: re-asserting a relationship as fundamental as it is delicate," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 33-42.
    13. Cervero, Robert, 1994. "Transit-based housing in California: evidence on ridership impacts," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 1(3), pages 174-183, June.
    14. Fu, Miao & Kelly, J. Andrew & Clinch, J. Peter, 2017. "Estimating annual average daily traffic and transport emissions for a national road network: A bottom-up methodology for both nationally-aggregated and spatially-disaggregated results," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 186-195.
    15. Zhao, Shuangming & Zhao, Pengxiang & Cui, Yunfan, 2017. "A network centrality measure framework for analyzing urban traffic flow: A case study of Wuhan, China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 478(C), pages 143-157.
    16. Manuela Hummel & Dominic Edelmann & Annette Kopp-Schneider, 2017. "Clustering of samples and variables with mixed-type data," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(11), pages 1-23, November.
    17. Jerome H. Friedman & Jacqueline J. Meulman, 2004. "Clustering objects on subsets of attributes (with discussion)," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 66(4), pages 815-849, November.
    18. repec:ipt:iptwpa:jrc47967 is not listed on IDEAS
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Heber Hernández & Elisabete Alberdi & Heriberto Pérez-Acebo & Irantzu Álvarez & María José García & Isabel Eguia & Kevin Fernández, 2021. "Managing Traffic Data through Clustering and Radial Basis Functions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-15, March.
    2. Klapka, Pavel & Kraft, Stanislav & Halás, Marián, 2020. "Network based definition of functional regions: A graph theory approach for spatial distribution of traffic flows," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    3. Shuang Yin & Guojun Gan & Emiliano A. Valdez & Jeyaraj Vadiveloo, 2021. "Applications of Clustering with Mixed Type Data in Life Insurance," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-19, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Geva, Sharon & Fulman, Nir & Ben-Elia, Eran, 2022. "Getting the prices right: Drivers' cruising choices in a serious parking game," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 54-75.
    2. Gu, Ziyuan & Safarighouzhdi, Farshid & Saberi, Meead & Rashidi, Taha H., 2021. "A macro-micro approach to modeling parking," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 220-244.
    3. Tscharaktschiew, Stefan & Reimann, Felix, 2021. "On employer-paid parking and parking (cash-out) policy: A formal synthesis of different perspectives," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 499-516.
    4. Francis Ostermeijer & Hans RA Koster & Leonardo Nunes & Jos van Ommeren, 2021. "Citywide parking policy and traffic: Evidence from Amsterdam," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-015/VIII, Tinbergen Institute.
    5. Ostermeijer, Francis & Koster, Hans & Nunes, Leonardo & van Ommeren, Jos, 2022. "Citywide parking policy and traffic: Evidence from Amsterdam," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    6. Wei Wang & Yuwei Zhou & Jianbin Liu & Baofeng Sun, 2022. "On-Street Cruising for Parking Model in Consideration with Gaming Elements and Its Impact Analysis," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(19), pages 1-17, September.
    7. Gu, Ziyuan & Li, Yifan & Saberi, Meead & Rashidi, Taha H. & Liu, Zhiyuan, 2023. "Macroscopic parking dynamics and equitable pricing: Integrating trip-based modeling with simulation-based robust optimization," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 354-381.
    8. Maas, Alexander & Watson, Philip, 2018. "Enthusiasm curbed: Home value implications of curbside parking rights," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 705-711.
    9. Hymel, Kent, 2014. "Do parking fees affect retail sales? Evidence from Starbucks," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 3(3), pages 221-233.
    10. Inci, Eren, 2015. "A review of the economics of parking," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 50-63.
    11. Xinliu Sui & Xiaofei Ye & Tao Wang & Xingchen Yan & Jun Chen & Bin Ran, 2022. "Microscopic Simulating the Impact of Cruising for Parking on Traffic Efficiency and Emission with Parking-and-Visit Test Data," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(15), pages 1-26, July.
    12. Weinberger, Rachel, 2012. "Death by a thousand curb-cuts: Evidence on the effect of minimum parking requirements on the choice to drive," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 93-102.
    13. Rodríguez, Andrés & Cordera, Rubén & Alonso, Borja & dell'Olio, Luigi & Benavente, Juan, 2022. "Microsimulation parking choice and search model to assess dynamic pricing scenarios," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 253-269.
    14. Kobus, Martijn B.W. & Gutiérrez-i-Puigarnau, Eva & Rietveld, Piet & Van Ommeren, Jos N., 2013. "The on-street parking premium and car drivers' choice between street and garage parking," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 395-403.
    15. Yating Zhu & Xiaofei Ye & Jun Chen & Xingchen Yan & Tao Wang, 2020. "Impact of Cruising for Parking on Travel Time of Traffic Flow," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-17, April.
    16. Eren Inci & Jos van Ommeren & Martijn Kobus, 2017. "The external cruising costs of parking," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 17(6), pages 1301-1323.
    17. Alemi, Farzad & Rodier, Caroline & Drake, Christiana, 2018. "Cruising and on-street parking pricing: A difference-in-difference analysis of measured parking search time and distance in San Francisco," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 187-198.
    18. Millard-Ball, Adam & Hampshire, Robert C. & Weinberger, Rachel, 2020. "Parking behaviour: The curious lack of cruising for parking in San Francisco," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    19. Groote, Jesper De & Ommeren, Jos Van & Koster, Hans R.A., 2016. "Car ownership and residential parking subsidies: Evidence from Amsterdam," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 6(C), pages 25-37.
    20. Lehner, Stephan & Peer, Stefanie, 2019. "The price elasticity of parking: A meta-analysis," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 177-191.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jotrge:v:83:y:2020:i:c:s096669231930568x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/journal-of-transport-geography .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.