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Assessing travel time reliability in transport appraisal

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  • Chang, Justin S.

Abstract

This paper considers a way of assessing travel time reliability in transport appraisal. The term travel time reliability generally refers to variations in journey time that travellers may not predict. Two essential requirements for the evaluation and guidance of the appraisal are discussed. The requirements represent the measurement and valuation of travel time uncertainties. The gap between actual and planned journey times is used for the quantification, subject to the differing characteristics of road and rail usage. A logit-based choice model is developed to derive monetary values of travel time variation. Guidelines are established using the standard framework of the rule of a half. Concluding remarks are also presented.

Suggested Citation

  • Chang, Justin S., 2010. "Assessing travel time reliability in transport appraisal," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 419-425.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jotrge:v:18:y:2010:i:3:p:419-425
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2009.06.012
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Matthias Sweet & Mengke Chen, 2011. "Does regional travel time unreliability influence mode choice?," Transportation, Springer, vol. 38(4), pages 625-642, July.
    2. Gu, Yu & Fu, Xiao & Liu, Zhiyuan & Xu, Xiangdong & Chen, Anthony, 2020. "Performance of transportation network under perturbations: Reliability, vulnerability, and resilience," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    3. Zhaoqi Zang & Xiangdong Xu & Kai Qu & Ruiya Chen & Anthony Chen, 2022. "Travel time reliability in transportation networks: A review of methodological developments," Papers 2206.12696, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
    4. Alireza Ermagun & David Levinson, 2017. "Traffic Flow Variation and Network Structure," Working Papers 000167, University of Minnesota: Nexus Research Group.
    5. Rajesh S. Prabhu Gaonkar & V. Mariappan, 2020. "Transportation time reliability appraisal in maritime context," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 11(3), pages 736-746, June.
    6. Rajesh S. Prabhu Gaonkar & V. Mariappan, 0. "Transportation time reliability appraisal in maritime context," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 0, pages 1-11.
    7. Högdahl, Johan & Bohlin, Markus & Fröidh, Oskar, 2019. "A combined simulation-optimization approach for minimizing travel time and delays in railway timetables," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 192-212.

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