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Effects of monetary policy shocks on exchange rate in small open Economies

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  • Kim, Soyoung
  • Lim, Kuntae

Abstract

This study empirically investigates the effects of monetary policy shocks on exchange rates in four small open economies (United Kingdom, Canada, Sweden, and Australia) by using VAR models in which sign restrictions on impulse responses are imposed to identify monetary policy shocks. The main empirical findings are as follows. (1) A contractionary monetary policy leads to significant exchange rate appreciation. (2) The delay in overshooting is relatively short, at best six months. (3) The deviation from the UIP condition is relatively small, although significant at short horizons in a few cases. To obtain results without strong puzzles, constructing an empirical model that reflects the features of the small open economy and estimates the model for the recent inflation-targeting period during which monetary policy operating procedure does not change substantially are important.

Suggested Citation

  • Kim, Soyoung & Lim, Kuntae, 2018. "Effects of monetary policy shocks on exchange rate in small open Economies," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 324-339.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:56:y:2018:i:c:p:324-339
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2018.04.008
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    Cited by:

    1. Erfani , Alireza & Abbasi , Saeed, 2018. "The Effect of Monetary Policy on Regime Changes of Financial Assets," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 13(3), pages 319-341, July.
    2. Lance A. Fisher & Hyeon-seung Huh, 2022. "Systematic Monetary Policy in a SVAR for Australia," Working papers 2022rwp-194, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    3. Andersson, Fredrik N. G. & Kilman, Josefin, 2021. "A Study of the Romer and Romer Monetary Policy Shocks Using Revised Data," Working Papers 2021:19, Lund University, Department of Economics.
    4. Fasolo, Angelo Marsiglia, 2019. "Monetary policy volatility shocks in Brazil," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 348-360.
    5. Nicolas Groshenny & Naveed Javed, 2023. "Dornbusch’s overshooting and the systematic component of monetary policy in SOE-SVARs," TEPP Working Paper 2023-08, TEPP.
    6. Senanu Kwasi Klutse & Judit Sági & Gábor Dávid Kiss, 2022. "Exchange Rate Crisis among Inflation Targeting Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-13, May.
    7. Yang, Yang & Zhang, Jiqiang, 2021. "Effects of monetary policy on the exchange rates: A Time-varying analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    8. Han, Jong-Suk & Hur, Joonyoung, 2020. "Macroeconomic effects of monetary policy in Korea: A time-varying coefficient VAR approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 142-152.
    9. Dr. Christian Grisse, 2020. "The effect of monetary policy on the Swiss franc: an SVAR approach," Working Papers 2020-02, Swiss National Bank.
    10. Firmin Doko Tchatoka & Qazi Haque & Madison Terrell, 2022. "Monetary policy shocks and exchange rate dynamics in small open economies," CAMA Working Papers 2022-15, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    11. Bünyamin Fuat Yıldız & Korhan K. Gökmenoğlu & Wing-Keung Wong, 2022. "Analysing Monetary Policy Shocks by Sign and Parametric Restrictions: The Evidence from Russia," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-16, September.
    12. Kim, Jihae & Kim, Soyoung & Park, Donghyun, 2020. "Monetary policy shocks and exchange rates in Asian countries," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    13. Li, Huan & Ni, Jinlan & Xu, Yueli & Zhan, Minghua, 2021. "Monetary policy and its transmission channels: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    14. Xi Wang & Jiayang Li & Guangbin Zhang, 2022. "Mixed Monetary–Fiscal Policies and Macroeconomic Fluctuations: An Analysis Based on the Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 30(2), pages 167-196, March.
    15. Fisher, Lance A. & Huh, Hyeon-seung, 2023. "Systematic monetary policy in a SVAR for Australia," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    VAR; Monetary policy shocks; Exchange rate; UIP condition; Delayed Overshooting;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit

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