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Dynamics of international integration of government securities' markets

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  • Kumar, Manmohan S.
  • Okimoto, Tatsuyoshi

Abstract

This paper investigates the dynamics of international government bond market integration in six of the G7 economies over two decades leading up to the global crisis. It examines whether such integration had been significant; the extent to which integration at the short and long end of the yield curve differed; the nature of such integration; and the extent of the decoupling of the long rates from short rates. These issues are investigated using the rigorous smooth-transition copula-GARCH model framework. The results show that integration at the long end of the yield curve had been increasing, had become pronounced, and was significantly greater than at the short end. Decoupling between the short and long end of the yield curve was notable, with important implications for the efficacy of monetary policy in the period before the crisis.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Banking & Finance.

Volume (Year): 35 (2011)
Issue (Month): 1 (January)
Pages: 142-154

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Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:35:y:2011:i:1:p:142-154

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jbf

Related research

Keywords: Smooth transition model Copula Time-varying correlations Financial integration;

References

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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Tatsuyoshi Okimoto, 2014. "Asymmetric Increasing Trends in Dependence in International Equity Markets," CAMA Working Papers 2014-44, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  2. Manmohan S. Kumar & Emanuele Baldacci, 2010. "Fiscal Deficits, Public Debt, and Sovereign Bond Yields," IMF Working Papers 10/184, International Monetary Fund.
  3. OHASHI Kazuhiko & OKIMOTO Tatsuyoshi, 2013. "Increasing Trends in the Excess Comovement of Commodity Prices," Discussion papers 13048, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
  4. Claeys, Peter & Moreno, Rosina & Suriñach, Jordi, 2012. "Debt, interest rates, and integration of financial markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 48-59.
  5. Piljak, Vanja, 2013. "Bond markets co-movement dynamics and macroeconomic factors: Evidence from emerging and frontier markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 17(C), pages 29-43.
  6. Zunino, Luciano & Fernández Bariviera, Aurelio & Guercio, M. Belén & Martinez, Lisana B. & Rosso, Osvaldo A., 2012. "On the efficiency of sovereign bond markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(18), pages 4342-4349.
  7. Yang, Lu & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2014. "Dependence structure between CEEC-3 and German government securities markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 109-125.

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