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Investment horizon and the attractiveness of investment strategies: A behavioral approach

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  • Dierkes, Maik
  • Erner, Carsten
  • Zeisberger, Stefan
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    Abstract

    We analyze the attractiveness of investment strategies over a variety of investment horizons from the viewpoint of an investor with preferences described by Cumulative Prospect Theory (CPT), currently the most prominent descriptive theory for decision making under uncertainty. A bootstrap technique is applied using historical return data of 1926-2008. To allow for variety in investors' preferences, we conduct several sensitivity analyses and further provide robustness checks for the results. In addition, we analyze the attractiveness of the investment strategies based on a set of experimentally elicited preference parameters. Our study reveals that strategy attractiveness substantially depends on the investment horizon. While for almost every preference parameter combination a bond strategy is preferred for the short run, stocks show an outperformance for longer horizons. Portfolio insurance turns out to be attractive for almost every investment horizon. Interestingly, we find probability weighting to be a driving factor for insurance strategies' attractiveness.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Banking & Finance.

    Volume (Year): 34 (2010)
    Issue (Month): 5 (May)
    Pages: 1032-1046

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    Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:34:y:2010:i:5:p:1032-1046

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    Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jbf

    Related research

    Keywords: Behavioral finance Cumulative Prospect Theory Portfolio choice Investment strategy Investment horizon;

    References

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    Cited by:
    1. Foster, Jarred & Krawczyk, Jacek B, 2013. "Sensitivity of cautious-relaxed investment policies to target variation," Working Paper Series 2972, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance.
    2. Rosella Castellano & Roy Cerqueti, 2013. "Roots and effects of financial misperception in a stochastic dominance framework," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 47(6), pages 3371-3389, October.
    3. Dichtl, Hubert & Drobetz, Wolfgang, 2011. "Portfolio insurance and prospect theory investors: Popularity and optimal design of capital protected financial products," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(7), pages 1683-1697, July.
    4. Hedmilton Mourão Cardoso & Claudio Henrique da Silveira Barbedo & José Valentim Machado Vicente, 2012. "Dynamic strategies to optimize asset allocation: empirical evidence in the Brazilian market," Brazilian Business Review, Fucape Business School, vol. 9(2), pages 109-133, April.
    5. Bertrand, Philippe & Prigent, Jean-luc, 2011. "Omega performance measure and portfolio insurance," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(7), pages 1811-1823, July.

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