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Pricing annuity guarantees under a double regime-switching model

Author

Listed:
  • Fan, Kun
  • Shen, Yang
  • Siu, Tak Kuen
  • Wang, Rongming

Abstract

This paper is concerned with the valuation of equity-linked annuities with mortality risk under a double regime-switching model, which provides a way to endogenously determine the regime-switching risk. The model parameters and the reference investment fund price level are modulated by a continuous-time, finite-time, observable Markov chain. In particular, the risk-free interest rate, the appreciation rate, the volatility and the martingale describing the jump component of the reference investment fund are related to the modulating Markov chain. Two approaches, namely, the regime-switching Esscher transform and the minimal martingale measure, are used to select pricing kernels for the fair valuation. Analytical pricing formulas for the embedded options underlying these products are derived using the inverse Fourier transform. The fast Fourier transform approach is then used to numerically evaluate the embedded options. Numerical examples are provided to illustrate our approach.

Suggested Citation

  • Fan, Kun & Shen, Yang & Siu, Tak Kuen & Wang, Rongming, 2015. "Pricing annuity guarantees under a double regime-switching model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 62-78.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:62:y:2015:i:c:p:62-78
    DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2015.02.005
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    3. Olivier Le Courtois & François Quittard-Pinon & Xiaoshan Su, 2020. "Pricing and hedging defaultable participating contracts with regime switching and jump risk," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 43(1), pages 303-339, June.
    4. Godin, Frédéric & Trottier, Denis-Alexandre, 2021. "Option pricing in regime-switching frameworks with the Extended Girsanov Principle," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 116-129.
    5. Yuanchuang Shan & Huisheng Shu & Haoran Yi, 2023. "Pricing Equity-Indexed Annuities under a Stochastic Dividend Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-12, January.
    6. Yang, Lin & Pantelous, Athanasios A. & Assa, Hirbod, 2016. "Robust Stability, Stabilisation And H-Infinity Control For Premium-Reserve Models In A Markovian Regime Switching Discrete-Time Framework," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 46(3), pages 747-778, September.
    7. Yanlin Shi & Lingbing Feng & Tong Fu, 2020. "Markov Regime-Switching in-Mean Model with Tempered Stable Distribution," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 55(4), pages 1275-1299, April.
    8. Frédéric Godiny & Van Son Lai & Denis-Alexandre Trottier, 2019. "Option Pricing Under Regime-Switching Models: Novel Approaches Removing Path-Dependence," Working Papers 2019-014, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    9. Xie, Yurong & Deng, Guohe, 2022. "Vulnerable European option pricing in a Markov regime-switching Heston model with stochastic interest rate," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    10. Wenguang Yu & Yaodi Yong & Guofeng Guan & Yujuan Huang & Wen Su & Chaoran Cui, 2019. "Valuing Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefits by Cosine Series Expansion," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 7(9), pages 1-15, September.
    11. Cui, Zhenyu & Kirkby, J. Lars & Nguyen, Duy, 2017. "Equity-linked annuity pricing with cliquet-style guarantees in regime-switching and stochastic volatility models with jumps," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 46-62.
    12. Yichen Han & Dongchen Li & Kun Fan & Jiaxin Wan & Luyan Li, 2024. "Valuation of a Mixture of GMIB and GMDB Variable Annuity," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-22, January.
    13. Godin, Frédéric & Lai, Van Son & Trottier, Denis-Alexandre, 2019. "Option pricing under regime-switching models: Novel approaches removing path-dependence," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 130-142.
    14. Hieber, Peter, 2017. "Cliquet-style return guarantees in a regime switching Lévy model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 138-147.
    15. Fan, Kun & Shen, Yang & Siu, Tak Kuen & Wang, Rongming, 2015. "Valuing commodity options and futures options with changing economic conditions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 524-533.
    16. Wang, Yayun & Zhang, Zhimin & Yu, Wenguang, 2021. "Pricing equity-linked death benefits by complex Fourier series expansion in a regime-switching jump diffusion model," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 399(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Equity-indexed annuity; Variable annuity; Regime-switching; Esscher transform; Fast Fourier transform;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G22 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies

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