IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/cup/astinb/v46y2016i03p747-778_00.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Robust Stability, Stabilisation And H-Infinity Control For Premium-Reserve Models In A Markovian Regime Switching Discrete-Time Framework

Author

Listed:
  • Yang, Lin
  • Pantelous, Athanasios A.
  • Assa, Hirbod

Abstract

The premium pricing process and the medium- and long-term stability of the reserve policy under conditions of uncertainty present very challenging issues in relation to the insurance world. Over the last two decades, applications of Markovian regime switching models to finance and macroeconomics have received strong attention from researchers, and particularly market practitioners. However, relatively little research has so far been carried out in relation to insurance. This paper attempts to consider how a linear Markovian regime switching system in discrete-time could be applied to model the medium- and long-term reserves and the premiums (abbreviated here as the P-R process) for an insurer. Some recently developed techniques from linear robust control theory are applied to explore the stability, stabilisation and robust H ∞-control of a P-R system, and the potential effects of abrupt structural changes in the economic fundamentals, as well as the insurer's strategy over a finite time period. Sufficient linear matrix inequality conditions are derived for solving the proposed sub-problems. Finally, a numerical example is presented to illustrate the applicability of the theoretical results.

Suggested Citation

  • Yang, Lin & Pantelous, Athanasios A. & Assa, Hirbod, 2016. "Robust Stability, Stabilisation And H-Infinity Control For Premium-Reserve Models In A Markovian Regime Switching Discrete-Time Framework," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 46(3), pages 747-778, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:astinb:v:46:y:2016:i:03:p:747-778_00
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S0515036116000131/type/journal_article
    File Function: link to article abstract page
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rantala, Jukka, 1986. "Experience Rating of ARIMA Processes by the Kalman Filter," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 16(1), pages 19-31, April.
    2. Shen, Yang & Siu, Tak Kuen, 2013. "Longevity bond pricing under stochastic interest rate and mortality with regime-switching," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(1), pages 114-123.
    3. Massimo Guidolin, 2011. "Markov Switching Models in Empirical Finance," Advances in Econometrics, in: Missing Data Methods: Time-Series Methods and Applications, pages 1-86, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    4. Fan, Kun & Shen, Yang & Siu, Tak Kuen & Wang, Rongming, 2015. "Pricing annuity guarantees under a double regime-switching model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 62-78.
    5. Siu, Chi Chung & Yam, Sheung Chi Phillip & Yang, Hailiang, 2015. "Valuing Equity-Linked Death Benefits In A Regime-Switching Framework," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 45(2), pages 355-395, May.
    6. Chen, An & Delong, Å ukasz, 2015. "Optimal Investment For A Defined-Contribution Pension Scheme Under A Regime Switching Model," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 45(2), pages 397-419, May.
    7. Zimbidis, Alexandros & Haberman, Steven, 2001. "The combined effect of delay and feedback on the insurance pricing process: a control theory approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 263-280, April.
    8. Pantelous, Athanasios A. & Yang, Lin, 2014. "Robust LMI stability, stabilization and H∞ control for premium pricing models with uncertainties into a stochastic discrete-time framework," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 133-143.
    9. anonymous, 2007. "Bank asset growth robust, statistics show," Financial Update, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, vol. 20(2).
    10. Freeman, Mark, 2013. "Pension Plan Solvency and Extreme Market Movements: A Regime Switching Approach †Abstract of the Leeds discussion," British Actuarial Journal, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(3), pages 681-694, September.
    11. Abourashchi, Niloufar & Clacher, Iain & Hillier, David & Freeman, Mark & Kemp, Malcolm & Zhang, Qi, 2013. "Pension Plan Solvency and Extreme Market Movements: A Regime Switching Approach – Funding Report for the Actuarial Profession," British Actuarial Journal, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(3), pages 676-680, September.
    12. Lars Peter Hansen & Thomas J. Sargent, 2007. "Introduction to Robustness," Introductory Chapters, in: Robustness, Princeton University Press.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Orphanides, Athanasios & Williams, John C., 2008. "Learning, expectations formation, and the pitfalls of optimal control monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(Supplemen), pages 80-96, October.
    2. Luo, Yulei & Young, Eric R., 2016. "Induced uncertainty, market price of risk, and the dynamics of consumption and wealth," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 1-41.
    3. Zhengyuan Gao & Christian M. Hafner, 2019. "Looking Backward and Looking Forward," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-24, June.
    4. Durlauf, Steven N. & Navarro, Salvador & Rivers, David A., 2016. "Model uncertainty and the effect of shall-issue right-to-carry laws on crime," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 32-67.
    5. Campbell Leith & Eric Leeper, 2016. "Understanding Inflation as a Joint Monetary-Fiscal Phenomenon," Working Papers 2016_01, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    6. Godin, Frédéric & Lai, Van Son & Trottier, Denis-Alexandre, 2019. "Option pricing under regime-switching models: Novel approaches removing path-dependence," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 130-142.
    7. Kirkby, J. Lars & Nguyen, Duy, 2021. "Equity-linked Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefits with dollar cost averaging," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 408-428.
    8. Condie, Scott & Ganguli, Jayant, 2017. "The pricing effects of ambiguous private information," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 512-557.
    9. Luo, Yulei & Nie, Jun & Young, Eric, 2015. "Robust Permanent Income in General Equilibrium," MPRA Paper 63985, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Backus, David & Ferriere, Axelle & Zin, Stanley, 2015. "Risk and ambiguity in models of business cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 42-63.
    11. Cogley, Timothy & De Paoli, Bianca & Matthes, Christian & Nikolov, Kalin & Yates, Tony, 2011. "A Bayesian approach to optimal monetary policy with parameter and model uncertainty," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(12), pages 2186-2212.
    12. Luo, Yulei & Nie, Jun & Young, Eric R., 2014. "Model uncertainty and intertemporal tax smoothing," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 289-314.
    13. Luo, Yulei, 2014. "Strategic Consumption-Portfolio Rules and Precautionary Savings with Informational Frictions," MPRA Paper 58077, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Pierre‐André Chiappori & Bernard Salanié & François Salanié & Amit Gandhi, 2019. "From Aggregate Betting Data to Individual Risk Preferences," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 87(1), pages 1-36, January.
    15. Hainaut, Donatien, 2016. "Impact of volatility clustering on equity indexed annuities," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 367-381.
    16. Eric Leeper & James Nason, 2014. "Bringing Financial Stability into Monetary Policy," CAEPR Working Papers 2014-003, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    17. Wenguang Yu & Yaodi Yong & Guofeng Guan & Yujuan Huang & Wen Su & Chaoran Cui, 2019. "Valuing Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefits by Cosine Series Expansion," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 7(9), pages 1-15, September.
    18. Knispel, Thomas & Laeven, Roger J.A. & Svindland, Gregor, 2016. "Robust optimal risk sharing and risk premia in expanding pools," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 182-195.
    19. Leeper, E.M. & Leith, C., 2016. "Understanding Inflation as a Joint Monetary–Fiscal Phenomenon," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 2305-2415, Elsevier.
    20. Alonso, Irasema & Prado, Mauricio, 2015. "Ambiguity aversion, asset prices, and the welfare costs of aggregate fluctuations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 78-92.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cup:astinb:v:46:y:2016:i:03:p:747-778_00. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Kirk Stebbing (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.cambridge.org/asb .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.