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Innovative efficiency and stock returns: Should we care about nonlinearity?

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  • Basse Mama, Houdou

Abstract

Recent research suggests that a firm’s innovative efficiency (IE) is a strong positive predictor of future stock returns. Using a panel of 3084 international firms over the 1999–2015 period, this study attests to the predictive power of IE for subsequent returns, but disputes the linearity of the underlying relationship. Specifically, portfolio analyses and Fama and MacBeth (1973) regressions demonstrate that IE shares a robust U-shaped relationship with future stock returns, market valuations, and operating performance. This evidence is new to the literature and bears important implications for investment and security analysis, innovative-intensive firms, policy-making, and academic research as well.

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  • Basse Mama, Houdou, 2018. "Innovative efficiency and stock returns: Should we care about nonlinearity?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 81-89.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:24:y:2018:i:c:p:81-89
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2017.07.001
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    Cited by:

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    2. Yang, Ann Shawing & Okada, Hiromu, 2019. "Corporate innovations as institutional anomie: Patent activities and financial performance of the international aerospace industry," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 328-336.
    3. Machokoto, Michael & Gyimah, Daniel & Ntim, Collins G., 2021. "Do peer firms influence innovation?," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 53(5).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Innovative efficiency; Patents; Research and development; Nonlinearity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • O32 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Management of Technological Innovation and R&D

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