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Analysis of the global financial crisis using statistical moments

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  • Jun, Doobae
  • Ahn, Changmo
  • Kim, Gwangil

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the impacts of the global financial crisis on the statistical properties of the stock market indices. And we also suggest a possible warning signal of the global financial crisis from the changes in the statistical properties. In order to do that, we treat the world stock markets as a web of relations, which is described by a distribution in the standardized normalization coordinate system: Quarterly world stock-market indices are standardized by re-scaling each index and then normalizing the whole time-series so that every sample of standardized indices has the same mean and variance. By plotting the higher moments of this normalized series, it is possible to identify singularities which might have warned of the dotcom bubble crash in 2002, the 2008 financial crisis, and the European sovereign debt crisis of 2009–10.

Suggested Citation

  • Jun, Doobae & Ahn, Changmo & Kim, Gwangil, 2017. "Analysis of the global financial crisis using statistical moments," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 47-52.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:21:y:2017:i:c:p:47-52
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2016.11.004
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Yang Liu & Qingguo Zeng & Bobo Li & Lili Ma & Joaquín Ordieres‐Meré, 2022. "Anticipating financial distress of high‐tech startups in the European Union: A machine learning approach for imbalanced samples," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 1131-1155, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Global financial crisis; Stock-market index; Standardization; Standardized normalization; Statistical moments;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C02 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Mathematical Economics
    • C18 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Methodolical Issues: General
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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