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Dynamic robust portfolio selection with copulas

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  • Han, Yingwei
  • Li, Ping
  • Xia, Yong

Abstract

This paper considers two dynamic robust portfolio optimization models based on the framework of Kakouris and Rustem(2014). We use copula-GARCH and DCC copulas approaches to capture the dynamics of the distribution of the returns. We compare our proposed methods with the static robust and nonrobust portfolio optimization models based on the CSI300 data. The experimental study shows that the dynamic WCVaR models perform better in out-of-sample tests when considering the uncertainty in the estimated model. The static nonrobust method produces higher returns in the in-sample tests, since there is no room to capture model uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Han, Yingwei & Li, Ping & Xia, Yong, 2017. "Dynamic robust portfolio selection with copulas," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 190-200.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:21:y:2017:i:c:p:190-200
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2016.12.008
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    2. Sahamkhadam, Maziar & Stephan, Andreas & Östermark, Ralf, 2018. "Portfolio optimization based on GARCH-EVT-Copula forecasting models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 497-506.
    3. Sleire, Anders D. & Støve, Bård & Otneim, Håkon & Berentsen, Geir Drage & Tjøstheim, Dag & Haugen, Sverre Hauso, 2022. "Portfolio allocation under asymmetric dependence in asset returns using local Gaussian correlations," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    4. Sanford, Anthony, 2022. "Optimized portfolio using a forward-looking expected tail loss," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    5. Xue Deng & Ying Liang, 2023. "Robust Portfolio Optimization Based on Semi-Parametric ARMA-TGARCH-EVT Model with Mixed Copula Using WCVaR," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(1), pages 267-294, January.
    6. Alireza Ghahtarani & Ahmed Saif & Alireza Ghasemi, 2022. "Robust portfolio selection problems: a comprehensive review," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 22(4), pages 3203-3264, September.
    7. Zhifeng Dai & Jie Kang, 2022. "Some new efficient mean–variance portfolio selection models," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4784-4796, October.
    8. Waël Louhichi & Hassen Rais, 2019. "Refinement of the hedging ratio using copula-GARCH models," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(5), pages 403-411, September.
    9. Anatolyev, Stanislav & Pyrlik, Vladimir, 2022. "Copula shrinkage and portfolio allocation in ultra-high dimensions," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    10. Akhtaruzzaman, Md & Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Boubaker, Sabri & Moussa, Faten, 2023. "Does green improve portfolio optimisation?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    11. Stanislav Anatolyev & Vladimir Pyrlik, 2021. "Shrinkage for Gaussian and t Copulas in Ultra-High Dimensions," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp699, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    12. Yu Wei & Lan Bai & Kun Yang & Guiwu Wei, 2021. "Are industry‐level indicators more helpful to forecast industrial stock volatility? Evidence from Chinese manufacturing purchasing managers index," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(1), pages 17-39, January.
    13. Su, Xiaoshan & Bai, Manying & Han, Yingwei, 2021. "Robust portfolio selection with regime switching and asymmetric dependence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    14. William E. Nganje & Linda D. Burbidge & Elisha K. Denkyirah & Elvis M. Ndembe, 2021. "Predicting Food-Safety Risk and Determining Cost-Effective Risk-Reduction Strategies," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-18, September.
    15. Alireza Ghahtarani & Ahmed Saif & Alireza Ghasemi, 2021. "Robust Portfolio Selection Problems: A Comprehensive Review," Papers 2103.13806, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.

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