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Does inflation targeting reduce sovereign risk? Further evidence

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  • Thornton, John
  • Vasilakis, Chrysovalantis

Abstract

We examine whether adopting an inflation-targeting regime helps reduce sovereign risk premia in a sample of 64 advanced and developing countries for the period 1985–2012. We address the self-selection problem of policy adoption by applying a variety of propensity score matching methods. The results provide evidence that inflation targeting lowers sovereign risk.

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  • Thornton, John & Vasilakis, Chrysovalantis, 2016. "Does inflation targeting reduce sovereign risk? Further evidence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 237-241.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:18:y:2016:i:c:p:237-241
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2016.04.022
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    Cited by:

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    2. Thornton, John & Vasilakis, Chrysovalantis, 2017. "Inflation targeting and the cyclicality of monetary policy," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 296-302.
    3. Florent Kanga GBONGUE & Lambert N’Galadjo BAMBA, 2023. "Le modèle hybride de la structure par terme des primes souveraines de crédit et de liquidité dans la zone UEMOA," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 57, pages 101-145.
    4. Apeti, Ablam Estel & Combes, Jean-Louis & Minea, Alexandru, 2023. "Inflation targeting and the composition of public expenditure: Evidence from developing countries," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    5. Huyugüzel Kışla, Gül & Özlem Önder, A., 2018. "Spatial analysis of sovereign risks: The case of emerging markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 47-55.
    6. John Thornton & Chrysovalantis Vasilakis, 2020. "Do fiscal rules reduce government borrowing costs in developing countries?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 499-510, October.
    7. Adina Ionela Străchinaru & Bogdan Andrei Dumitrescu, 2019. "Assessing the Sustainability of Inflation Targeting: Evidence from EU Countries with Non-EURO Currencies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(20), pages 1-13, October.
    8. Thornton, John & Vasilakis, Chrysovalantis, 2017. "The impact of fiscal rules on sovereign risk premia: International evidence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 63-67.
    9. Ouyang, Alice Y. & Rajan, Ramkishen S., 2019. "The impact of financial development on the effectiveness of inflation targeting in developing economies," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 25-35.
    10. Ribeiro, Pedro Pires & Cermeño, Rodolfo & Curto, José Dias, 2017. "Sovereign bond markets and financial volatility dynamics: Panel-GARCH evidence for six euro area countries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 107-114.
    11. Dridi, Ichrak & Boughrara, Adel, 2021. "On the effect of full-fledged IT adoption on stock returns and their conditional volatility: Evidence from propensity score matching," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 179-194.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflation targeting; Sovereign risk premia; Treatment effect; Propensity score matching;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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