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Impact of macroeconomic announcements on implied volatility slope of SPX options and VIX

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  • Onan, Mustafa
  • Salih, Aslihan
  • Yasar, Burze

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of macroeconomic announcements on the high-frequency behavior of the observed implied volatility skew of S&P 500 index options and VIX. We document that macroeconomic announcements affect VIX significantly and slope at a lesser extent. We also find evidence that good and bad announcements significantly and asymmetrically change implied volatility slope and VIX.

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  • Onan, Mustafa & Salih, Aslihan & Yasar, Burze, 2014. "Impact of macroeconomic announcements on implied volatility slope of SPX options and VIX," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 454-462.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:11:y:2014:i:4:p:454-462
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2014.07.006
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    8. Choi, Sun-Yong, 2019. "The influence of shock signals on the change in volatility term structure," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 1-1.
    9. Bakry, Walid & Kavalmthara, Peter John & Saverimuttu, Vivienne & Liu, Yiyang & Cyril, Sajan, 2022. "Response of stock market volatility to COVID-19 announcements and stringency measures: A comparison of developed and emerging markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
    10. Song, Wonho & Ryu, Doojin & Webb, Robert I., 2016. "Overseas market shocks and VKOSPI dynamics: A Markov-switching approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 275-282.
    11. Imlak Shaikh, 2019. "On the Relationship between Economic Policy Uncertainty and the Implied Volatility Index," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-11, March.
    12. Lin, Tiantian & Liu, Dehong & Zhang, Lili & Lung, Peter, 2019. "The information content of realized volatility of sector indices in China’s stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 625-640.
    13. Claudiu Albulescu, 2020. "Coronavirus and financial volatility: 40 days of fasting and fear," Papers 2003.04005, arXiv.org.
    14. Najaf Iqbal & Elie Bouri & Guangrui Liu & Ashish Kumar, 2024. "Volatility spillovers during normal and high volatility states and their driving factors: A cross‐country and cross‐asset analysis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 975-995, January.
    15. Liu, Li & Zhang, Tao, 2015. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market volatility," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 99-105.
    16. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Konstantatos, Christoforos & Tsagkanos, Athanasios & Siriopoulos, Costas, 2021. "Do economic news releases affect tail risk? Evidence from an emerging market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    17. Albulescu, Claudiu Tiberiu, 2021. "COVID-19 and the United States financial markets’ volatility," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    18. Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & Dogan, Buhari & Ghosh, Sudeshna, 2023. "Extreme spillover effect of COVID-19 pandemic-related news and cryptocurrencies on green bond markets: A quantile connectedness analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    19. Akhilesh Prasad & Priti Bakhshi, 2022. "Role of the Global Volatility Indices in Predicting the Volatility Index of the Indian Economy," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-18, November.
    20. Li, Jianhui & Ruan, Xinfeng & Zhang, Jin E., 2022. "The price of COVID-19-induced uncertainty in the options market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    21. Díaz, Fernando & Henríquez, Pablo A. & Winkelried, Diego, 2022. "Stock market volatility and the COVID-19 reproductive number," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    22. Min Hong & Xiaolei Wang & Zhenghui Li, 2022. "Will Oil Price Volatility Cause Market Panic?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-17, June.
    23. K. Riyazahmed, 2022. "Volatility Spillover and Pandemic - Analysis of Selected Sectoral Indices in India," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 6, pages 655-670.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Volatility skews; Slope; S&P 500 index options; VIX; Macroeconomic announcements;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G19 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Other

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