IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v278y2023ipbs0360544223012161.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

How do multiple policy incentives influence investors’ decisions on biomass co-firing combined with carbon capture and storage retrofit projects for coal-fired power plants?

Author

Listed:
  • Tan, Zhizhou
  • Zeng, Xianhai
  • Lin, Boqiang

Abstract

In the face of the challenges posed by carbon-neutral actions, this study explores the economic viability of using biomass co-firing and carbon capture and storage technology to retrofit current coal-fired power plants as a feasible option for decarbonization. The study uses the real options approach to evaluate the potential project value under different uncertainties and policy scenarios. It is found that while feed-in tariff offers the highest policy value, the existing policy mix falls short of meeting investor criteria for retrofit investments. Raising carbon prices may encourage investment in retrofit projects that combine biomass co-firing with carbon capture and storage by improving investment value and advancing investment time. The study recommends the formulation of a composite policy scheme that includes electricity price subsidy and carbon tax credit for carbon capture and storage to promote retrofit projects. It also suggests higher carbon prices, minimum utilization hours guarantees, and increased technical innovation support to promote the development of retrofit projects in existing coal-fired power plants. In summary, the study provides a robust framework for investors and policymakers to devise optimal investment and policy strategies that can effectively promote decarbonization efforts worldwide.

Suggested Citation

  • Tan, Zhizhou & Zeng, Xianhai & Lin, Boqiang, 2023. "How do multiple policy incentives influence investors’ decisions on biomass co-firing combined with carbon capture and storage retrofit projects for coal-fired power plants?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PB).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:278:y:2023:i:pb:s0360544223012161
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2023.127822
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544223012161
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2023.127822?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhang, Xian & Wang, Xingwei & Chen, Jiajun & Xie, Xi & Wang, Ke & Wei, Yiming, 2014. "A novel modeling based real option approach for CCS investment evaluation under multiple uncertainties," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 1059-1067.
    2. Xian, Hui & Colson, Gregory & Mei, Bin & Wetzstein, Michael E., 2015. "Co-firing coal with wood pellets for U.S. electricity generation: A real options analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 106-116.
    3. Pour, Nasim & Webley, Paul A. & Cook, Peter J., 2018. "Opportunities for application of BECCS in the Australian power sector," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C), pages 615-635.
    4. Jeon, Chanwoong & Lee, Jeongjin & Shin, Juneseuk, 2015. "Optimal subsidy estimation method using system dynamics and the real option model: Photovoltaic technology case," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 33-43.
    5. Yang, Bo & Wei, Yi-Ming & Hou, Yunbing & Li, Hui & Wang, Pengtao, 2019. "Life cycle environmental impact assessment of fuel mix-based biomass co-firing plants with CO2 capture and storage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 252(C), pages 1-1.
    6. Zhou, Wenji & Zhu, Bing & Fuss, Sabine & Szolgayová, Jana & Obersteiner, Michael & Fei, Weiyang, 2010. "Uncertainty modeling of CCS investment strategy in China's power sector," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(7), pages 2392-2400, July.
    7. Laude, Audrey & Jonen, Christian, 2013. "Biomass and CCS: The influence of technical change," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 916-924.
    8. Picciano, Paul & Aguilar, Francisco X. & Burtraw, Dallas & Mirzaee, Ashkan, 2022. "Environmental and socio-economic implications of woody biomass co-firing at coal-fired power plants," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    9. Li, Yanan & Lin, Jun & Qian, Yanjun & Li, Dehong, 2023. "Feed-in tariff policy for biomass power generation: Incorporating the feedstock acquisition process," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 304(3), pages 1113-1132.
    10. Wang, Xingwei & Cai, Yanpeng & Dai, Chao, 2014. "Evaluating China's biomass power production investment based on a policy benefit real options model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 751-761.
    11. Basu, Prabir & Butler, James & Leon, Mathias A., 2011. "Biomass co-firing options on the emission reduction and electricity generation costs in coal-fired power plants," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 282-288.
    12. Zhu, Lei & Fan, Ying, 2013. "Modelling the investment in carbon capture retrofits of pulverized coal-fired plants," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 66-75.
    13. Stewart C. Myers, 1984. "Finance Theory and Financial Strategy," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 14(1), pages 126-137, February.
    14. Sven Bode & Martina Jung, 2006. "Carbon dioxide capture and storage—liability for non-permanence under the UNFCCC," International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 6(2), pages 173-186, June.
    15. Zhang, M.M. & Zhou, D.Q. & Zhou, P. & Liu, G.Q., 2016. "Optimal feed-in tariff for solar photovoltaic power generation in China: A real options analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 181-192.
    16. Chen, Siyuan & Liu, Jiangfeng & Zhang, Qi & Teng, Fei & McLellan, Benjamin C., 2022. "A critical review on deployment planning and risk analysis of carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) toward carbon neutrality," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    17. Sammarchi, Sergio & Li, Jia & Izikowitz, David & Yang, Qiang & Xu, Dong, 2022. "China’s coal power decarbonization via CO2 capture and storage and biomass co-firing: A LCA case study in Inner Mongolia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PA).
    18. Lee, See Hoon & Lee, Tae Hee & Jeong, Sang Mun & Lee, Jong Min, 2019. "Economic analysis of a 600 mwe ultra supercritical circulating fluidized bed power plant based on coal tax and biomass co-combustion plans," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 121-127.
    19. Zhang, M.M. & Wang, Qunwei & Zhou, Dequn & Ding, H., 2019. "Evaluating uncertain investment decisions in low-carbon transition toward renewable energy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C), pages 1049-1060.
    20. Weng, Yuwei & Cai, Wenjia & Wang, Can, 2021. "Evaluating the use of BECCS and afforestation under China’s carbon-neutral target for 2060," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 299(C).
    21. Yang, Lin & Xu, Mao & Yang, Yuantao & Fan, Jingli & Zhang, Xian, 2019. "Comparison of subsidy schemes for carbon capture utilization and storage (CCUS) investment based on real option approach: Evidence from China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    22. Audrey Laude & Christian Jonen, 2013. "Biomass and CCS: The influence of technical change," Post-Print hal-02071376, HAL.
    23. Myers, Stewart C., 1977. "Determinants of corporate borrowing," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 147-175, November.
    24. Tan, Qinliang & Wang, Tingran & Zhang, Yimei & Miao, Xinyan & Zhu, Jun, 2017. "Nonlinear multi-objective optimization model for a biomass direct-fired power generation supply chain using a case study in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 1066-1079.
    25. Chen, Siyuan & Zhang, Qi & Wang, Ge & Zhu, Lijing & Li, Yan, 2018. "Investment strategy for underground gas storage facilities based on real option model considering gas market reform in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 132-142.
    26. Guo, Jian & Zhong, Minghao & Chen, Shuran, 2022. "Analysis and simulation of BECCS vertical integration model in China based on evolutionary game and system dynamics," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    27. Jiang, Kai & Ashworth, Peta & Zhang, Shiyi & Liang, Xi & Sun, Yan & Angus, Daniel, 2020. "China's carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS) policy: A critical review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    28. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-654, May-June.
    29. Wang, Yudong & Guo, Zhuangyue, 2018. "The dynamic spillover between carbon and energy markets: New evidence," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 24-33.
    30. Pete Smith & Steven J. Davis & Felix Creutzig & Sabine Fuss & Jan Minx & Benoit Gabrielle & Etsushi Kato & Robert B. Jackson & Annette Cowie & Elmar Kriegler & Detlef P. van Vuuren & Joeri Rogelj & Ph, 2016. "Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(1), pages 42-50, January.
    31. Yang, Bo & Wei, Yi-Ming & Liu, Lan-Cui & Hou, Yun-Bing & Zhang, Kun & Yang, Lai & Feng, Ye, 2021. "Life cycle cost assessment of biomass co-firing power plants with CO2 capture and storage considering multiple incentives," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    32. Chen, Siyuan & Zhang, Qi & Li, Hailong & Mclellan, Benjamin & Zhang, Tiantian & Tan, Zhizhou, 2019. "Investment decision on shallow geothermal heating & cooling based on compound options model: A case study of China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Thomas Aspinall & Adrian Gepp & Geoff Harris & Simone Kelly & Colette Southam & Bruce Vanstone, 2021. "Estimation of a term structure model of carbon prices through state space methods: The European Union emissions trading scheme," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(2), pages 3797-3819, June.
    2. Zhang, M.M. & Wang, Qunwei & Zhou, Dequn & Ding, H., 2019. "Evaluating uncertain investment decisions in low-carbon transition toward renewable energy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C), pages 1049-1060.
    3. Kozlova, Mariia, 2017. "Real option valuation in renewable energy literature: Research focus, trends and design," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 180-196.
    4. Yang, Lin & Xu, Mao & Fan, Jingli & Liang, Xi & Zhang, Xian & Lv, Haodong & Wang, Dong, 2021. "Financing coal-fired power plant to demonstrate CCS (carbon capture and storage) through an innovative policy incentive in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    5. Liu, Jiangfeng & Zhang, Qi & Li, Hailong & Chen, Siyuan & Teng, Fei, 2022. "Investment decision on carbon capture and utilization (CCU) technologies—A real option model based on technology learning effect," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
    6. Martín-Barrera, Gonzalo & Zamora-Ramírez, Constancio & González-González, José M., 2016. "Application of real options valuation for analysing the impact of public R&D financing on renewable energy projects: A company′s perspective," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 292-301.
    7. Fan, Jing-Li & Xu, Mao & Yang, Lin & Zhang, Xian, 2019. "Benefit evaluation of investment in CCS retrofitting of coal-fired power plants and PV power plants in China based on real options," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    8. Pringles, Rolando & Olsina, Fernando & Penizzotto, Franco, 2020. "Valuation of defer and relocation options in photovoltaic generation investments by a stochastic simulation-based method," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 846-864.
    9. Linnerud, Kristin & Andersson, Ane Marte & Fleten, Stein-Erik, 2014. "Investment timing under uncertain renewable energy policy: An empirical study of small hydropower projects," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 154-164.
    10. Bettina Freitag & Lukas Häfner & Verena Pfeuffer & Jochen Übelhör, 2020. "Evaluating investments in flexible on-demand production capacity: a real options approach," Business Research, Springer;German Academic Association for Business Research, vol. 13(1), pages 133-161, April.
    11. Zhang, Xinhua & Yang, Hongming & Yu, Qian & Qiu, Jing & Zhang, Yongxi, 2018. "Analysis of carbon-abatement investment for thermal power market in carbon-dispatching mode and policy recommendations," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 954-966.
    12. Madlener, Reinhard & Stoverink, Simon, 2012. "Power plant investments in the Turkish electricity sector: A real options approach taking into account market liberalization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 124-134.
    13. Herui Cui & Tian Zhao & Ruirui Wu, 2018. "An Investment Feasibility Analysis of CCS Retrofit Based on a Two-Stage Compound Real Options Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-19, July.
    14. Carmen Schiel & Simon Glöser-Chahoud & Frank Schultmann, 2019. "A real option application for emission control measures," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 89(3), pages 291-325, April.
    15. Zhang, M.M. & Zhou, D.Q. & Zhou, P. & Chen, H.T., 2017. "Optimal design of subsidy to stimulate renewable energy investments: The case of China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 873-883.
    16. Liu, Shen & Colson, Gregory & Wetzstein, Michael, 2018. "Biodiesel investment in a disruptive tax-credit policy environment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 19-30.
    17. Locatelli, Giorgio & Mancini, Mauro & Lotti, Giovanni, 2020. "A simple-to-implement real options method for the energy sector," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    18. Casper Boongaling Agaton, 2022. "Will a Geopolitical Conflict Accelerate Energy Transition in Oil-Importing Countries? A Case Study of the Philippines from a Real Options Perspective," Resources, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-17, June.
    19. Guo, Jian-Xin & Tan, Xianchun & Gu, Baihe & Zhu, Kaiwei, 2022. "Integration of supply chain management of hybrid biomass power plant with carbon capture and storage operation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 1055-1065.
    20. Mingming Zhang & Dequn Zhou & Hao Ding & Jingliang Jin, 2016. "Biomass Power Generation Investment in China: A Real Options Evaluation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(6), pages 1-22, June.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:278:y:2023:i:pb:s0360544223012161. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.