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How much energy will buildings consume in 2100? A global perspective within a scenario framework

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  • Levesque, Antoine
  • Pietzcker, Robert C.
  • Baumstark, Lavinia
  • De Stercke, Simon
  • Grübler, Arnulf
  • Luderer, Gunnar

Abstract

The demand for energy in buildings varies strongly across countries and climatic zones. These differences result from manifold factors, whose future evolution is uncertain. In order to assess buildings' energy demand across the 21st century, we develop an energy demand model — EDGE — and apply it in an analytical scenario framework — the shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) — to take socio-economic uncertainty into consideration. EDGE projects energy demand for five energy services, four fuel categories, and eleven regions covering the world.

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  • Levesque, Antoine & Pietzcker, Robert C. & Baumstark, Lavinia & De Stercke, Simon & Grübler, Arnulf & Luderer, Gunnar, 2018. "How much energy will buildings consume in 2100? A global perspective within a scenario framework," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 514-527.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:148:y:2018:i:c:p:514-527
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2018.01.139
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