IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ejores/v237y2014i1p312-322.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Optimal hedging when the underlying asset follows a regime-switching Markov process

Author

Listed:
  • François, Pascal
  • Gauthier, Geneviève
  • Godin, Frédéric

Abstract

We develop a flexible discrete-time hedging methodology that minimizes the expected value of any desired penalty function of the hedging error within a general regime-switching framework. A numerical algorithm based on backward recursion allows for the sequential construction of an optimal hedging strategy. Numerical experiments comparing this and other methodologies show a relative expected penalty reduction ranging between 0.9% and 12.6% with respect to the best benchmark.

Suggested Citation

  • François, Pascal & Gauthier, Geneviève & Godin, Frédéric, 2014. "Optimal hedging when the underlying asset follows a regime-switching Markov process," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 237(1), pages 312-322.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:237:y:2014:i:1:p:312-322
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2014.01.034
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0377221714000551
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ejor.2014.01.034?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robert J. Elliott & Leunglung Chan & Tak Kuen Siu, 2005. "Option pricing and Esscher transform under regime switching," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 1(4), pages 423-432, October.
    2. Ioannis Karatzas & Jaksa Cvitanic, 1999. "On dynamic measures of risk," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 3(4), pages 451-482.
    3. Martin Schweizer, 1995. "Variance-Optimal Hedging in Discrete Time," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 20(1), pages 1-32, February.
    4. Hsiang‐Tai Lee & Jonathan K. Yoder & Ron C. Mittelhammer & Jill J. McCluskey, 2006. "A random coefficient autoregressive Markov regime switching model for dynamic futures hedging," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 103-129, February.
    5. John Buffington & Robert J. Elliott, 2002. "American Options With Regime Switching," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 5(05), pages 497-514.
    6. Jin-Chuan Duan & Ivilina Popova & Peter Ritchken, 2002. "Option pricing under regime switching," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(2), pages 116-132.
    7. Ernst Eberlein & Jean Jacod, 1997. "On the range of options prices (*)," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 1(2), pages 131-140.
    8. Mary Hardy, 2001. "A Regime-Switching Model of Long-Term Stock Returns," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(2), pages 41-53.
    9. Jun Sekine, 2004. "Dynamic Minimization of Worst Conditional Expectation of Shortfall," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(4), pages 605-618, October.
    10. De Giovanni, Domenico & Ortobelli, Sergio & Rachev, Svetlozar, 2008. "Delta hedging strategies comparison," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 185(3), pages 1615-1631, March.
    11. Hsiang‐Tai Lee & Jonathan Yoder, 2007. "Optimal hedging with a regime‐switching time‐varying correlation GARCH model," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(5), pages 495-516, May.
    12. Hans FÃllmer & Peter Leukert, 2000. "Efficient hedging: Cost versus shortfall risk," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 4(2), pages 117-146.
    13. Hamilton, James D, 1989. "A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(2), pages 357-384, March.
    14. Lee, Hsiang-Tai, 2009. "Optimal futures hedging under jump switching dynamics," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 446-456, June.
    15. Schweizer, Martin, 1991. "Option hedging for semimartingales," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 339-363, April.
    16. Mingxin Xu, 2006. "Risk measure pricing and hedging in incomplete markets," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 2(1), pages 51-71, January.
    17. Alizadeh, Amir H. & Nomikos, Nikos K. & Pouliasis, Panos K., 2008. "A Markov regime switching approach for hedging energy commodities," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(9), pages 1970-1983, September.
    18. Jin‐Chuan Duan, 1995. "The Garch Option Pricing Model," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 5(1), pages 13-32, January.
    19. Amir Alizadeh & Nikos Nomikos, 2004. "A Markov regime switching approach for hedging stock indices," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(7), pages 649-674, July.
    20. Hsiang‐Tai Lee, 2009. "A copula‐based regime‐switching GARCH model for optimal futures hedging," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(10), pages 946-972, October.
    21. Donald Lien, 2012. "A note on the performance of regime switching hedge strategy," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(4), pages 389-396, April.
    22. Hans FÃllmer & Peter Leukert, 1999. "Quantile hedging," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 3(3), pages 251-273.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Karim Barigou & Valeria Bignozzi & Andreas Tsanakas, 2021. "Insurance valuation: A two-step generalised regression approach," Post-Print hal-03043244, HAL.
    2. Godin, Frédéric & Trottier, Denis-Alexandre, 2021. "Option pricing in regime-switching frameworks with the Extended Girsanov Principle," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 116-129.
    3. Alexandre Carbonneau & Fr'ed'eric Godin, 2020. "Equal Risk Pricing of Derivatives with Deep Hedging," Papers 2002.08492, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2020.
    4. Maciej Augustyniak & Frédéric Godin & Clarence Simard, 2017. "Assessing the effectiveness of local and global quadratic hedging under GARCH models," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(9), pages 1305-1318, September.
    5. Michèle Breton & Frédéric Godin, 2017. "Global Hedging through Post-Decision State Variables," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-6, August.
    6. Massimo Caccia & Bruno R'emillard, 2017. "Option Pricing and Hedging for Discrete Time Autoregressive Hidden Markov Model," Papers 1707.02019, arXiv.org.
    7. Carbonneau, Alexandre, 2021. "Deep hedging of long-term financial derivatives," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 327-340.
    8. Alexandre Carbonneau, 2020. "Deep Hedging of Long-Term Financial Derivatives," Papers 2007.15128, arXiv.org.
    9. Godin, Frédéric & Lai, Van Son & Trottier, Denis-Alexandre, 2019. "Option pricing under regime-switching models: Novel approaches removing path-dependence," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 130-142.
    10. Korn, Ralf & Melnyk, Yaroslav & Seifried, Frank Thomas, 2017. "Stochastic impulse control with regime-switching dynamics," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 260(3), pages 1024-1042.
    11. Babu Jose & James Varghese, 2021. "Ideal Investment Protection in Optimistic Perceptions: Evidence From the Indian Equity Options Market," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 12(2), pages 327-340, April.
    12. Alexandre Carbonneau & Fr'ed'eric Godin, 2021. "Deep equal risk pricing of financial derivatives with non-translation invariant risk measures," Papers 2107.11340, arXiv.org.
    13. Frédéric Godiny & Van Son Lai & Denis-Alexandre Trottier, 2019. "Option Pricing Under Regime-Switching Models: Novel Approaches Removing Path-Dependence," Working Papers 2019-014, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    14. Lioudmila Vostrikova & Yuchao Dong, 2018. "Utility maximization for L{\'e}vy switching models," Papers 1807.08982, arXiv.org.
    15. Augustyniak, Maciej & Godin, Frédéric & Simard, Clarence, 2019. "A profitable modification to global quadratic hedging," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 111-131.
    16. F. Godin, 2016. "Minimizing CVaR in global dynamic hedging with transaction costs," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(3), pages 461-475, March.
    17. Saeed Marzban & Erick Delage & Jonathan Yumeng Li, 2020. "Equal Risk Pricing and Hedging of Financial Derivatives with Convex Risk Measures," Papers 2002.02876, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2020.
    18. Lioudmila Vostrikova & Yuchao Dong, 2018. "Utility maximization for Lévy switching models," Working Papers hal-01844635, HAL.
    19. Maciej Augustyniak & Alexandru Badescu, 2021. "On the computation of hedging strategies in affine GARCH models," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(5), pages 710-735, May.
    20. Debbie Dupuis, Geneviève Gauthier, and Fréderic Godin, 2016. "Short-term Hedging for an Electricity Retailer," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Pascal François & Geneviève Gauthier & Frédéric Godin, 2012. "Optimal Hedging when the Underlying Asset Follows a Regime-switching Markov Process," Cahiers de recherche 1234, CIRPEE.
    2. Donald Lien & Hsiang‐Tai Lee & Her‐Jiun Sheu, 2018. "Hedging systematic risk in the commodity market with a regime‐switching multivariate rotated generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity model," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(12), pages 1514-1532, December.
    3. Alexandre Carbonneau & Fr'ed'eric Godin, 2021. "Deep equal risk pricing of financial derivatives with non-translation invariant risk measures," Papers 2107.11340, arXiv.org.
    4. Park, Jin Suk & Shi, Yukun, 2017. "Hedging and speculative pressures and the transition of the spot-futures relationship in energy and metal markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 176-191.
    5. Hsiang‐Tai Lee, 2022. "A Markov regime‐switching Cholesky GARCH model for directly estimating the dynamic of optimal hedge ratio," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 389-412, March.
    6. Yudong Wang & Chongfeng Wu & Li Yang, 2015. "Hedging with Futures: Does Anything Beat the Naïve Hedging Strategy?," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 61(12), pages 2870-2889, December.
    7. Godin, Frédéric & Lai, Van Son & Trottier, Denis-Alexandre, 2019. "Option pricing under regime-switching models: Novel approaches removing path-dependence," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 130-142.
    8. Hung, Jui-Cheng & Yi-Hsien Wang, & Chang, Matthew C. & Shih, Kuang-Hsun & Hsiu-Hsueh Kao,, 2011. "Minimum variance hedging with bivariate regime-switching model for WTI crude oil," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 3050-3057.
    9. Jang, Bong-Gyu & Tae, Hyeon-Wuk, 2018. "Option pricing under regime switching: Integration over simplexes method," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 301-312.
    10. Godin, Frédéric & Trottier, Denis-Alexandre, 2021. "Option pricing in regime-switching frameworks with the Extended Girsanov Principle," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 116-129.
    11. Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Osuntuyi, Anthony, 2018. "Markov switching GARCH models for Bayesian hedging on energy futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 545-562.
    12. Shin-Yun Wang & Ming-Che Chuang & Shih-Kuei Lin & So-De Shyu, 2021. "Option pricing under stock market cycles with jump risks: evidence from the S&P 500 index," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 25-51, January.
    13. Alessandro Ramponi, 2011. "Mixture Dynamics and Regime Switching Diffusions with Application to Option Pricing," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 13(2), pages 349-368, June.
    14. Alexandre Carbonneau & Fr'ed'eric Godin, 2020. "Equal Risk Pricing of Derivatives with Deep Hedging," Papers 2002.08492, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2020.
    15. Su, EnDer, 2017. "Stock index hedging using a trend and volatility regime-switching model involving hedging cost," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 233-254.
    16. Emilio Russo, 2020. "A Discrete-Time Approach to Evaluate Path-Dependent Derivatives in a Regime-Switching Risk Model," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-22, January.
    17. Mingxin Xu, 2006. "Risk measure pricing and hedging in incomplete markets," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 2(1), pages 51-71, January.
    18. Peter Hieber, 2018. "Pricing exotic options in a regime switching economy: a Fourier transform method," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 231-252, July.
    19. Tian, Ping & Zhou, Hang & Zhou, Duotai, 2023. "Analysis about the Black-Scholes asset price under the regime-switching framework," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    20. Fan, Kun & Shen, Yang & Siu, Tak Kuen & Wang, Rongming, 2015. "Pricing annuity guarantees under a double regime-switching model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 62-78.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:237:y:2014:i:1:p:312-322. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eor .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.