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Dynamic supply adjustment and banking under uncertainty in an emission trading scheme: The market stability reserve

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  • Kollenberg, Sascha
  • Taschini, Luca

Abstract

We study the impact of a supply management mechanism (SMM) similar to the Market Stability Reserve proposed in 2015 which preserve the overall emissions cap and we comment on the recent cap-changing amendments. We provide an analytical description of the conditions under which an SMM alters the emissions abatement paths, affecting the expected length of the banking period and its variability. While abatement strategies of risk neutral firms solely depend on the former, for risk-averse firms changes in the latter would lead to higher risk premia, accelerated depletion of the bank and, consequently, further reduction of abatement and allowance prices. Cancellation of part of the reserve could partially outweigh the effect on risk premia sustaining allowance prices.

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  • Kollenberg, Sascha & Taschini, Luca, 2019. "Dynamic supply adjustment and banking under uncertainty in an emission trading scheme: The market stability reserve," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 213-226.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:eecrev:v:118:y:2019:i:c:p:213-226
    DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2019.05.013
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    Cited by:

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    2. Estelle Cantillon & Aurélie Slechten, 2023. "Market Design for the Environment," NBER Chapters, in: New Directions in Market Design, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Gerlagh, Reyer & Hejimans, Roweno J. R. K. & Rosendahl, Knut Einar, 2020. "Endogenous Emission Caps Always Produce a Green Paradox," Working Paper Series 4-2020, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, School of Economics and Business.
    4. Barbara Annicchiarico & Stefano Carattini & Carolyn Fischer & Garth Heutel, 2022. "Business Cycles and Environmental Policy: A Primer," Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 3(1), pages 221-253.
    5. Bocklet, Johanna, 2020. "The Reformed EU ETS in Times of Economic Crises: the Case of the COVID-19 Pandemic," EWI Working Papers 2020-10, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI).
    6. Baudry, Marc & Faure, Anouk & Quemin, Simon, 2021. "Emissions trading with transaction costs," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    7. René Aïd & Sara Biagini, 2023. "Optimal dynamic regulation of carbon emissions market," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(1), pages 80-115, January.
    8. Quemin, Simon, 2022. "Raising climate ambition in emissions trading systems: The case of the EU ETS and the 2021 review," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    9. Böhringer, Christoph & Fischer, Carolyn, 2023. "Tax, kill or bill: An analysis of unilateral CO2 price floor options in multilateral emissions trading systems," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    10. Tietjen, Oliver & Lessmann, Kai & Pahle, Michael, 2021. "Hedging and temporal permit issuances in cap-and-trade programs: The Market Stability Reserve under risk aversion," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    11. Ulrik Beck & Peter K. Kruse-Andersen, 2020. "Endogenizing the Cap in a Cap-and-Trade System: Assessing the Agreement on EU ETS Phase 4," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 77(4), pages 781-811, December.
    12. Herweg, Fabian, 2020. "Overlapping efforts in the EU Emissions Trading System," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    13. Grebel, Thomas & Islam, Rohidul, 2022. "Endogenous cap reduction in Emission Trading Systems," Ilmenau Economics Discussion Papers 169, Ilmenau University of Technology, Institute of Economics.
    14. Johanna Bocklet & Martin Hintermayer, 2020. "How Does the EU ETS Reform Impact Allowance Prices? The Role of Myopia, Hedging Requirements and the Hotelling Rule," CESifo Working Paper Series 8579, CESifo.
    15. Reyer Gerlagh & Roweno J.R.K. Heijmans & Knut Einar Rosendahl, 2019. "Endogenous Emission Caps Always Induce a Green Paradox," CESifo Working Paper Series 7862, CESifo.
    16. Bocklet, Johanna & Hintermayer, Martin, 2020. "How does the EU ETS reform impact allowance prices? The role of myopia, hedging requirements and the Hotelling rule," EWI Working Papers 2020-1, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI).
    17. Simon Quemin, 2020. "Using Supply-Side Policies to Raise Ambition: The Case of the EU ETS and the 2021 Review," Working Papers 2002, Chaire Economie du climat.
    18. Ohlendorf, Nils & Flachsland, Christian & Nemet, Gregory F. & Steckel, Jan Christoph, 2022. "Carbon price floors and low-carbon investment: A survey of German firms," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    19. Gerlagh, Reyer & Heijmans, Roweno J.R.K. & Rodendahl, Knut Einar, 2019. "Endogenous Emission Caps Always Induce a Green Paradox," Other publications TiSEM a629a851-9ea0-4022-aa1b-c, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    20. Quemin, Simon & Trotignon, Raphaël, 2021. "Emissions trading with rolling horizons," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    21. Ren'e Aid & Sara Biagini, 2021. "Optimal dynamic regulation of carbon emissions market: A variational approach," Papers 2102.12423, arXiv.org.
    22. Heijmans, Roweno J.R.K., 2023. "Adjustable emissions caps and the price of pollution," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    23. Reyer Gerlagh & Roweno J R K Heijmans & Knut Einar Rosendahl, 2021. "An endogenous emissions cap produces a green paradox [Combining price and quantity controls under partitioned environmental regulation]," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 36(107), pages 485-522.
    24. Osorio, Sebastian & Tietjen, Oliver & Pahle, Michael & Pietzcker, Robert C. & Edenhofer, Ottmar, 2021. "Reviewing the Market Stability Reserve in light of more ambitious EU ETS emission targets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    25. : Dubois, Loick & Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume & Vermandel, Gauthier, 2024. "A General Equilibrium Approach to Carbon Permit Banking," Single Market Economics Papers WP2024/20, Directorate-General for Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs (European Commission), Chief Economist Team.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    EU ETS Reform; Policy Responsiveness; Resilience; Supply Management Mechanism; Risk-Aversion;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance

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