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Could the Expanding Economic Growth and Trade Openness of the United Kingdom Pose a Threat to its Existing Energy Predicaments?

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  • Abdulkadir Abdulrashid Rafindadi

    (Department of Economics, Usmanu Danfodiyo University, Sokoto, Nigeria)

Abstract

This study examined whether the expanding economic growth prospects of the UK could pose a threat to its existing energy predicaments. To ensure this, time series data from 1970- 2013 was used while the Zivot-Andrew structural break unit root test, the Bayer-Hank combined cointegration test, the ARDL bounds test and the VECM Granger causality test were applied, and this was validated using the innovation accounting test. The findings of the study confirmed the existence of cointegration among the variables. Following to this development, the study discovered that economic growth is negatively linked with energy demand in the UK, while trade openness adds to energy consumption; in addition to that, the position of the capital-labour ratio in UK was discovered to have a composite effect and with significant pressure on the country s energy consumption. To support the direction of these findings, the study discovered that while a 1% increase in economic growth in UK declines energy consumption by 0.5422% surprisingly however, a 1% increase in Trade openness and capital-labour ratio were found to lead to an escalation of energy demand by 0.9817% and 3.3906% respectively. These statistics may be a threat to the UK energy predicaments only if electricity generation should fall below the expected and potential requirements. In view of this development, the study proposes the need to pursue mix energy policies and strategies that will ensure the use of advanced technology at the industrial level; an exclusive use of renewable energy at the household level and ensure adequate investment priorities within the renewable energy sector among others.

Suggested Citation

  • Abdulkadir Abdulrashid Rafindadi, 2015. "Could the Expanding Economic Growth and Trade Openness of the United Kingdom Pose a Threat to its Existing Energy Predicaments?," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 5(1), pages 121-137.
  • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2015-01-10
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    Cited by:

    1. Abdulkadir Abdulrashid Rafindadi, 2015. "Econometric Prediction on the Effects of Financial Development and Trade Openness on the German Energy Consumption: A Startling Revelation," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 5(1), pages 182-196.
    2. Rafindadi, Abdulkadir Abdulrashid, 2016. "Revisiting the concept of environmental Kuznets curve in period of energy disaster and deteriorating income: Empirical evidence from Japan," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 274-284.
    3. Cuma Bozkurt & M. Akif Destek, 2015. "Renewable Energy and Sustainable Development Nexus in Selected OECD Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 5(2), pages 507-514.
    4. Rafindadi, Abdulkadir Abdulrashid, 2016. "Does the need for economic growth influence energy consumption and CO2 emissions in Nigeria? Evidence from the innovation accounting test," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 1209-1225.
    5. Fangming Xie & Chuanzhe Liu & Huiying Chen & Ning Wang, 2018. "Threshold Effects of New Energy Consumption Transformation on Economic Growth," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-14, November.
    6. Rafindadi, Abdulkadir Abdulrashid & Ozturk, Ilhan, 2017. "Impacts of renewable energy consumption on the German economic growth: Evidence from combined cointegration test," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 1130-1141.
    7. Bulkani Bulkani & Sonedi Sonedi & Chandra Anugrah Putra, 2021. "The Natural Gas Consumption and Economic Development Nexus: Fresh Evidence from Indonesia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(1), pages 607-614.
    8. Rafindadi, Abdulkadir Abdulrashid & Ozturk, Ilhan, 2016. "Effects of financial development, economic growth and trade on electricity consumption: Evidence from post-Fukushima Japan," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 1073-1084.
    9. Abdulkadir Abdulrashid Rafindadi & Almustapha A Aliyu, 2017. "Growing the Growth of the Ghanaian Economy: Is the Function of the Countrys Financial Development of Any Significance?," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 7(2), pages 206-221, February.
    10. Rafindadi, Abdulkadir Abdulrashid & Ozturk, Ilhan, 2015. "Natural gas consumption and economic growth nexus: Is the 10th Malaysian plan attainable within the limits of its resource?," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 1221-1232.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Electricity demand; Economic Growth; Innovation accounting test; Zivot-Andrew test;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • D24 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Production; Cost; Capital; Capital, Total Factor, and Multifactor Productivity; Capacity
    • Q42 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Alternative Energy Sources

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