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Impact of Economic Growth, Foreign Direct Investment and Financial Development on Stock Prices in China: Empirical Evidence from Time Series Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Faisal Faisal

    (Department of Banking and Finance, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Near East University, Nicosia, North Cyprus, Mersin 10, Turkey)

  • Peshraw Majid Muhamad

    (Department of Banking and Finance, College of Administration and Economics, Salahaddin University-Erbil, Iraq
    Accountant in Bekhal Bank, Erbil, Iraq,)

  • Turgut Tursoy

    (Department of Banking & Finance, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Near East University, North Cyprus, Mersin 10, Turkey)

Abstract

The study aims to empirically examine the dynamic relationship between gross domestic product (GDP), stock prices, Foreign direct investment (FDI) and domestic credit to the private sector for China by using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach for the period 1999Q1:2015Q1. The study confirmed the long-run cointegration among the variables. The empirical results revealed that stock prices and the associated regressors are in a long-term equilibrium relationship; stock prices converge to the long-run equilibrium position by 18.6% speed of adjustment via channel of GDP, stock price, FDI, and domestic credit to the private sector. The findings of the study further revealed that FDI has a positive impact on stock prices in the longrun, while financial development has a negative effect. The robustness of the ARDL bounds test of cointegration was examined by using Johansen and Juselius's (1990) maximum likelihood cointegration approach. Finally, the results of Granger causality under the framework of vector error correction models showed a unidirectional short-run Granger causality that runs from stock prices to economic growth and from economic growth to FDI, specifying the absence of the FDI-led growth hypothesis. Likewise, a bi-directional causality has been found between financial development and stock prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Faisal Faisal & Peshraw Majid Muhamad & Turgut Tursoy, 2016. "Impact of Economic Growth, Foreign Direct Investment and Financial Development on Stock Prices in China: Empirical Evidence from Time Series Analysis," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(4), pages 1998-2006.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ1:2016-04-91
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Verónica Cañal-Fernández & Julio Tascón Fernández, 2018. "The long run impact of foreign direct investment, exports, imports and GDP: evidence for Spain from an ARDL approach," Working Papers 0128, European Historical Economics Society (EHES).
    2. Ghaith Alzaidy & Mohd Naseem Bin Niaz Ahmad & Zakaria Lacheheb, 2017. "The Impact of Foreign-direct Investment on Economic Growth in Malaysia: The Role of Financial Development," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(3), pages 382-388.
    3. Arash Ketabforoush Badri & Aidin Poorabdollahi Sheshgelani, 2017. "Economic Freedom and FDI in Selected Developing Countries," Noble International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Noble Academic Publsiher, vol. 2(5), pages 82-87, May.
    4. Leandro do Rosario Viana Duarte & Yin Kedong & Li Xuemei, 2017. "The Relationship between FDI, Economic Growth and Financial Development in Cabo Verde," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(5), pages 132-142, May.
    5. Wei, Hua & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Ahmad, Ferhana & Zhang, Yuchen, 2020. "Resource cursed or resource blessed? The role of investment and energy prices in G7 countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    6. Faris Alshubiri, 2021. "The stock market capitalisation and financial growth nexus: an empirical study of western European countries," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-20, December.
    7. Tursoy, Turgut, 2018. "Risk management process in banking industry," MPRA Paper 86427, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stock Price; Autoregressive Distributed Lag; Cointegration; Granger Causality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • B26 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought since 1925 - - - Financial Economics

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