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Strategic Experimentation with Exponential Bandits

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Author Info
Godfrey Keller
Sven Rady
Martin Cripps

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Abstract

We analyze a game of strategic experimentation with two-armed bandits whose risky arm might yield payoffs after exponentially distributed random times. Free-riding causes an inefficiently low level of experimentation in any equilibrium where the players use stationary Markovian strategies with beliefs as the state variable. We construct the unique symmetric Markovian equilibrium of the game, followed by various asymmetric ones. There is no equilibrium where all players use simple cut-off strategies. Equilibria where players switch finitely often between experimenting and free-riding all yield a similar pattern of information acquisition, greater efficiency being achieved when the players share the burden of experimentation more equitably. When players switch roles infinitely often, they can acquire an approximately efficient amount of information, but still at an inefficient rate. In terms of aggregate payoffs, all these asymmetric equilibria dominate the symmetric one wherever the latter prescribes simultaneous use of both arms. Copyright The Econometric Society 2005.

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/j.1468-0262.2005.00564.x
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Econometric Society in its journal Econometrica.

Volume (Year): 73 (2005)
Issue (Month): 1 (01)
Pages: 39-68
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Handle: RePEc:ecm:emetrp:v:73:y:2005:i:1:p:39-68

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Bergemann, Dirk & Hege, Ulrich, 2001. "The Financing of Innovation: Learning and Stopping," CEPR Discussion Papers 2763, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Patrick Bolton & Christopher Harris, 1999. "Strategic Experimentation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 67(2), pages 349-374, March.
  3. Marx, Leslie M & Matthews, Steven A, 2000. "Dynamic Voluntary Contribution to a Public Project," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 67(2), pages 327-58, April.
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  4. Bergemann, Dirk & Hege, Ulrich, 1998. "Venture capital financing, moral hazard, and learning," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(6-8), pages 703-735, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Lockwood, Ben & Thomas, Jonathan P, 2002. "Gradualism and Irreversibility," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 69(2), pages 339-56, April.
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  6. Rothschild, Michael, 1974. "A two-armed bandit theory of market pricing," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 185-202, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. David A. Malueg & Shunichi O. Tsutsui, 1997. "Dynamic R&D Competition with Learning," RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 28(4), pages 751-772, Winter. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Keller, Godfrey & Rady, Sven, 2001. "Price Dispersion and Learning in a Dynamic Differentiated-Goods Duopoly," Discussion Papers in Economics 21, University of Munich, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Admati, Anat R & Perry, Motty, 1991. "Joint Projects without Commitment," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 58(2), pages 259-76, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Hikmet Gunay, 2008. "The role of externalities and information aggregation in market collapse," Economic Theory, Springer, vol. 35(2), pages 367-379, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Marc-Andreas Muendler, 2005. "Rational Transparency Choice in Financial Market Equilibrium¤," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 2005-04R, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
  3. Marc-Andreas Muendler, 2005. "Rational Information Choice in Financial Market Equilibrium," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 2005-04, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Bruno Strulovici, 2008. "Learning while voting: determinants of collective experimentation," Economics Papers 2008-W08, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
  5. Klein, Nicolas & Rady, Sven, 2008. "Negatively Correlated Bandits," Discussion Papers in Economics 5332, University of Munich, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Francisco Ruiz-Aliseda & Jianjun Wu, 2007. "Irreversible Investment in Stochastically Cyclical Markets," Economics Working Papers 1018, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra. [Downloadable!]
  7. Dinah Rosenberg & Eilon Solan & Nicolas Vieille, 2004. "Timing Games with Informational Externalities," Levine's Working Paper Archive 122247000000000704, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  8. Dinah Rosenberg & Eilon Solan & Nicolas Vieille, 2004. "Social Learning in One-Arm Bandit Problems," Discussion Papers 1396, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  9. Sorensen, Morten, 2007. "Learning by Investing: Evidence from Venture Capital," SIFR Research Report Series 53, Swedish Institute for Financial Research. [Downloadable!]
  10. Junjian Miao & Neng Wang, 2005. "Learning, Investment, and Entrepreneurial Survival," Boston University - Department of Economics - Macroeconomics Working Papers Series WP2005-015, Boston University - Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  11. Faruk Gul & Wolfgang Pesendorfer, 2007. "The War of Information," Levine's Bibliography 321307000000000921, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  12. Vieille, Nicolas & Rosenberg, Dinah & Solan, Eilon, 2006. "Informational externalities and convergence of behavior," Les Cahiers de Recherche 856, Groupe HEC. [Downloadable!]
  13. Marc-Andreas Muendler, 2005. "Risk Neutral Investors Do Not Acquire Information¤," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 2005-10, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
  14. Marc-Andreas Muendler, 2005. "The Action Value of Information and the Natural Transparency Limit¤," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 2005-09, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
  15. Daniel Krähmer, 2005. "Equilibrium Learning in Simple Contests," Discussion Papers 73, SFB/TR 15 Governance and the Efficiency of Economic Systems, Free University of Berlin, Humboldt University of Berlin, University of Bonn, University of Mannheim, University of Munich. [Downloadable!]
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