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Undiscounted Bandit Games

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  • Godfrey Keller
  • Sven Rady

Abstract

We analyze undiscounted continuous-time games of strategic experimentation with two-armed bandits. The risky arm generates payoffs according to a Lévy process with an unknown average payoff per unit of time which nature draws from an arbitrary finite set. Observing all actions and realized payoffs, plus a free background signal, players use Markov strategies with the common posterior belief about the unknown parameter as the state variable. We show that the unique symmetric Markov perfect equilibrium can be computed in a simple closed form involving only the payoff of the safe arm, the expected current payoff of the risky arm, and the expected full-information payoff, given the current belief. In particular, the equilibrium does not depend on the precise specification of the payoff-generating processes.

Suggested Citation

  • Godfrey Keller & Sven Rady, 2020. "Undiscounted Bandit Games," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2020_130v2, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:bon:boncrc:crctr224_2020_130v2
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    File URL: https://www.crctr224.de/research/discussion-papers/archive/dp130
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Asaf Cohen & Eilon Solan, 2013. "Bandit Problems with Lévy Processes," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 38(1), pages 92-107, February.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Strategic Experimentation; Bayesian Two-Armed Bandit; Strong Long-Run Average Criterion; Markov Perfect Equilibrium; HJB Equation; Viscosity Solution;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C73 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Stochastic and Dynamic Games; Evolutionary Games
    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness

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