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Strategic Experimentation: The Case of Poisson Bandits

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  • Martin W. Cripps
  • Godfrey Keller
  • Sven Rady

Abstract

This paper studies a game of strategic experimentation in which the players have access to two-armed bandits where the risky arm distributes lumpsum payoffs according to a Poisson process with unknown intensity. Because of free-riding, there is an inefficiently low level of experimentation in any equilibrium where the players use stationary Markovian strategies. We characterize the unique symmetric Markovian equilibrium of the game, which is in mixed strategies. A variety of asymmetric pure-strategy equilibria is then constructed for the special case where there are two players and the arrival of the first lump-sum fully reveals the quality of the risky arm. Equilibria where players switch finitely often between the roles of experimenter and free-rider all lead to the same pattern of information acquisition; the efficiency of these equilibria depends on the way players share the burden of experimentation among them. We show that at least for relatively pessimistic beliefs, even the worst asymmetric equilibrium is more efficient than the symmetric one. In equilibria where players switch roles infinitely often, they can acquire an approximately efficient amount of information, but the rate at which it is acquired still remains inefficient.

Suggested Citation

  • Martin W. Cripps & Godfrey Keller & Sven Rady, 2002. "Strategic Experimentation: The Case of Poisson Bandits," CESifo Working Paper Series 737, CESifo.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_737
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Patrick Bolton & Christopher Harris, 1999. "Strategic Experimentation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 67(2), pages 349-374, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Edward Cartwright & Myrna Wooders, 2009. "On equilibrium in pure strategies in games with many players," International Journal of Game Theory, Springer;Game Theory Society, vol. 38(1), pages 137-153, March.
    2. Krähmer, Daniel, 2003. "Learning and self-confidence in contests [Lernen und Selbstvertrauen in Wettkämpfen]," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Market Processes and Governance SP II 2003-10, WZB Berlin Social Science Center.
    3. Lukach, R. & Plasmans, J.E.J., 2002. "Measuring Knowledge Spillovers using Patent Citations : Evidence from the Belgian Firm's Data," Other publications TiSEM d78bf59a-e0ff-4451-86b9-1, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    4. Dinah Rosenberg & Eilon Solan & Nicolas Vieille, 2004. "Timing Games with Informational Externalities," Levine's Working Paper Archive 122247000000000704, David K. Levine.
    5. Wälde, Klaus, 2001. "Capital accumulation in a model of growth and creative destruction," Dresden Discussion Paper Series in Economics 09/01, Technische Universität Dresden, Faculty of Business and Economics, Department of Economics.
    6. Dinah Rosenberg & Eilon Solan & Nicolas Vieille, 2007. "Social Learning in One-Arm Bandit Problems," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 75(6), pages 1591-1611, November.
    7. Bøg, Martin, 2006. "Whom to Observe?," MPRA Paper 8773, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 May 2008.

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