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Trends versus Random Walks in Time Series Analysis Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Durlauf, Steven N
Phillips, Peter C B
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Article provided by Econometric Society in its journal Econometrica .
Volume (Year): 56 (1988)
Issue (Month): 6 (November)
Pages: 1333-54
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Handle: RePEc:ecm:emetrp:v:56:y:1988:i:6:p:1333-54Contact details of provider: Phone: 1 212 998 3820 Fax: 1 212 995 4487 Email: Web page: http://www.econometricsociety.org/ More information through EDIRC
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References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Phillips, P.C.B., 1986.
"Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression ,"
Cahiers de recherche
8633, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
Other versions: Flavin, Marjorie A, 1983.
"Excess Volatility in the Financial Markets: A Reassessment of the Empirical Evidence ,"
Journal of Political Economy ,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 91(6), pages 929-56, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Phillips, P C B & Durlauf, S N, 1986.
"Multiple Time Series Regression with Integrated Processes ,"
Review of Economic Studies ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(4), pages 473-95, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Amemiya, Takeshi, 1973.
"Generalized Least Squares with an Estimated Autocovariance Matrix ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 41(4), pages 723-32, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Gregory Mankiw, N. & Shapiro, Matthew D., 1985.
"Trends, random walks, and tests of the permanent income hypothesis ,"
Journal of Monetary Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 165-174, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Stock, James H, 1987.
"Asymptotic Properties of Least Squares Estimators of Cointegrating Vectors ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 55(5), pages 1035-56, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Phillips, P.C.B., 1986.
"Understanding spurious regressions in econometrics ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 311-340, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Nelson, Charles R & Kang, Heejoon, 1981.
"Spurious Periodicity in Inappropriately Detrended Time Series ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 49(3), pages 741-51, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Shiller, Robert J, 1979.
"The Volatility of Long-Term Interest Rates and Expectations Models of the Term Structure ,"
Journal of Political Economy ,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 87(6), pages 1190-1219, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Hoffman, Dennis L. & Low, Stuart A. & Schlagenhauf, Don E., 1984.
"Tests of rationality, neutrality and market efficiency : A Monte Carlo analysis of alternative test statistics ,"
Journal of Monetary Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 339-363, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Plosser, Charles I & Schwert, G William & White, Halbert, 1982.
"Differencing as a Test of Specification ,"
International Economic Review ,
Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 23(3), pages 535-52, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
White, Halbert, 1980.
"A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 48(4), pages 817-38, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Sargan, John Denis & Bhargava, Alok, 1983.
"Testing Residuals from Least Squares Regression for Being Generated by the Gaussian Random Walk ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 51(1), pages 153-74, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Granger, C. W. J. & Newbold, P., 1974.
"Spurious regressions in econometrics ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 111-120, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Phillips, P. C. B. & Ouliaris, S., 1988.
"Testing for cointegration using principal components methods ,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control ,
Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 205-230.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Full
references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Peter C.B. Phillips & Sam Ouliaris & Joon Y. Park, 1988.
"Testing for a Unit Root in the Presence of a Maintained Trend ,"
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
880, Cowles Foundation, Yale University.
[Downloadable!]
Patrick Marsh, .
"A Measure of Distance for the Unit Root Hypothesis ,"
Discussion Papers
05/02, Department of Economics, University of York.
[Downloadable!]
Peter Rappoport & Eugene N. White, 1991.
"Was there a bubble in the 1929 Stock Market? ,"
NBER Working Papers
3612, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Palaskas, Theodosios B. & Varangis, Panos N., 1991.
"Is there excess co-movement of primary commodity prices? A co-integration test ,"
Policy Research Working Paper Series
758, The World Bank.
[Downloadable!]
Juan-Carlos Candeal & Antonio Montañés & Irene Olloqui, 2003.
"Spurious Zipf's Law ,"
ERSA conference papers
ersa03p67, European Regional Science Association.
[Downloadable!]
Ai Deng, 2005.
"Understanding Spurious Regression in Financial Economics ,"
Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series
WP2005-048, Boston University - Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Peter C.B. Phillips, 2003.
"Laws and Limits of Econometrics ,"
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
1397, Cowles Foundation, Yale University.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Peter C.B. Phillips, 1994.
"Nonstationary Time Series and Cointegration: Recent Books and Themes for the Future ,"
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
1081, Cowles Foundation, Yale University.
[Downloadable!]
Francis X. Diebold & Lutz Kilian & Marc Nerlove, 2006.
"Time Series Analysis ,"
PIER Working Paper Archive
06-019, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!]
Danny Quah, 1987.
"What Do We Learn from Unit Roots in Macroeconomic Time Series? ,"
NBER Working Papers
2450, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Charles Engel, 2004.
"Some New Variance Bounds for Asset Prices ,"
NBER Working Papers
10981, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Leonardo Becchetti & Roberto Rocci & Giovanni Trovato, 2004.
"Industry and Time Specific Deviations from Fundamental Values in a Random Coefficient Model ,"
CEIS Research Paper
52, Tor Vergata University, CEIS.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Peter C.B. Phillips, 1998.
"New Unit Root Asymptotics in the Presence of Deterministic Trends ,"
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
1196, Cowles Foundation, Yale University.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Masao Ogaki & Ling Hu & Chi-Young Choi, 2004.
"A Spurious Regression Approach to Estimating Structural Parameters ,"
Working Papers
04-01, Ohio State University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Peter C.B. Phillips & Joon Y. Park, 1986.
"Statistical Inference in Regressions with Integrated Processes: Part 1 ,"
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
811R, Cowles Foundation, Yale University, revised Aug 1987.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Peter C.B. Phillips, 1996.
"Spurious Regression Unmasked ,"
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
1135, Cowles Foundation, Yale University.
[Downloadable!]
Peter C.B. Phillips, 2001.
"Bootstrapping Spurious Regression ,"
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
1330, Cowles Foundation, Yale University.
[Downloadable!]
Peter C.B. Phillips & Zhijie Xiao, 1998.
"A Primer on Unit Root Testing ,"
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
1189, Cowles Foundation, Yale University.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Patrick Marsh, .
"The Available Information for Invariant Tests of a Unit Root ,"
Discussion Papers
05/03, Department of Economics, University of York.
[Downloadable!]
Peter C.B. Phillips, 2004.
"Challenges of Trending Time Series Econometrics ,"
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
1472, Cowles Foundation, Yale University.
[Downloadable!]
Jesus Felipe, Carsten A. Holz, 2001.
"Why do Aggregate Production Functions Work? Fishers simulations, Shaikhs identity and some new results ,"
International Review of Applied Economics ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(3), pages 261-285, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
David Harvey & Stephen Leybourne & A.M. Robert Taylor, 2006.
"On Robust Trend Function Hypothesis Testing ,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics ,
Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 10(1), pages 1303-1303.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Masao Ogaki & Chi-Young Choi, 2001.
"The Gauss-Markov Theorem and Spurious Regressions ,"
Working Papers
01-13, Ohio State University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Chi-Young Choi & Ling Hu & Masao Ogaki, 2005.
"Structural Spurious Regressions and A Hausman-type Cointegration Test ,"
RCER Working Papers
517, University of Rochester - Center for Economic Research (RCER).
[Downloadable!]
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