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Nominal Contracting and Monetary Targets -- Drifting into Indexation

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Author Info
Patrick Minford (Cardiff University and CEPR)
Eric Nowell (University of Liverpool)
Bruce Webb (Cardiff University)

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Abstract

We look for a theoretical justification of nominal wage contracts in household diversification of risk. In a calibrated general equilibrium model we find from stochastic simulation that if both productivity and monetary shocks are temporary then optimal wage contracts are overwhelmingly nominal. The model suggests that the persistence in monetary shocks not only raises wage protection but also reduces welfare in a world where productivity shocks are persistent, as both theory and our empirical results for the OCED suggest they are. This suggests that this central bank practice is due for review. Copyright Royal Economic Society 2003.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Royal Economic Society in its journal The Economic Journal.

Volume (Year): 113 (2003)
Issue (Month): 484 (January)
Pages: 65-100
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Handle: RePEc:ecj:econjl:v:113:y:2003:i:484:p:65-100

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

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  3. Hansen, Gary D., 1985. "Indivisible labor and the business cycle," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 309-327, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Andrews, M J & Minford, A P L & Riley, J, 1996. "On Comparing Macroeconomic Models Using Forecast Encompassing Tests," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 58(2), pages 279-305, May.
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  9. Cho, Jang-Ok & Cooley, Thomas F & Phaneuf, Louis, 1997. "The Welfare Cost of Nominal Wage Contracting," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 64(3), pages 465-84, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  16. Barro, Robert J., 1977. "Long-term contracting, sticky prices, and monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(3), pages 305-316, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Minford, Patrick, 2006. "Joining the European Monetary Union - Comparing First and Second Generation Open Economy Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 5615, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Vo Le & Patrick Minford, 2006. "Joining the European Monetary Union—Comparing First and Second Generation Open Economy Models," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 281-296, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Minford, Patrick, 2007. "Optimising Indexation Arrangements under Calvo Contracts and their Implications for Monetary Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 6325, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Minford, Patrick & Nowell, Eric & Webb, Bruce, 2005. "Would price-level targeting destabilise the economy?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2005/12, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section. [Downloadable!]
  5. Matthews, Kent & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Webb, Bruce, 2006. "Monetary regimes: is there a trade-off between consumption and employment variability?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2006/12, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Minford, Patrick, 2007. "Calvo Contracts - Optimal Indexation in General Equilibrium," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2007/8, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, revised Oct 2008. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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