The relation between U.S. money growth and inflation: evidence from a band-pass filter
AbstractChristiano and Fitzgerald (2003) found a significant, positive correlation between M2 money growth and CPI inflation in all examined frequency bands for the U.S. prior to 1961. However, for post-1960 data, they found a positive correlation only in the frequency band corresponding to cycles of 20-40 years. Using their filter, we verify this result and extend the pre-1961 sample to include the monetary base and inflation calculated from the GDP deflator. In addition, we extend their post-1960 analysis to include growth in the monetary base, M1, and M3. A strongly positive correlation between post-1960 money growth and inflation exits only for the broad money aggregates and within the 20-40 year frequency band.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by AccessEcon in its journal Economics Bulletin.
Volume (Year): 5 (2005)
Issue (Month): 8 ()
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Find related papers by JEL classification:
- E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
- E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
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- Marianne Baxter & Robert G. King, 1999.
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The Review of Economics and Statistics,
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- Kulaksizoglu, Tamer & Kulaksizoglu, Sebnem, 2009. "The U.S. Excess Money Growth and Inflation Relation in the Long-Run: A Nonlinear Analysis," MPRA Paper 23780, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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