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The Friedman's and Mishkin's Hypotheses (Re)Considered

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  • Christian Bordes

    ()
    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - CNRS : UMR8174 - Université Paris I - Panthéon-Sorbonne)

  • Samuel Maveyraud

    (GREThA - Groupe de Recherche en Economie Théorique et Appliquée - CNRS : UMR5113 - Université Montesquieu - Bordeaux IV)

Abstract

This paper o¤ers to investigate both the Friedman's and Mishkin's hypotheses on the consequences of inflation on output growth. To this end, we first base these hypotheses in a unified framework. Second, in an empirical work based on OECD countries, we distinguish between short-medium and long run and between headline and core inflation. We get two main results. First, nominal uncertainty and inflation are positively linked. Second, headline inflation negatively Granger causes out- put gap (US, Japan, France) but has no effect on potential output growth (US excepted) whereas core inflation impacts potential output growth (UK, Germany) but not output gap (US excepted).

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by HAL in its series Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) with number hal-00308571.

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Date of creation: Jun 2008
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Handle: RePEc:hal:cesptp:hal-00308571

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Related research

Keywords: Inflation; uncertainty; output growth; GARCH; CF filter;

References

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