IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eaa/ijaeqs/v9y2009i1_13.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Foreign Direct Investment and Exchange Rate Volatility in Nigeria

Author

Listed:
  • Osinubi, T. S.
  • Amaghionyeodiwe, L. A

Abstract

This study investigated the empirical evidence on the effect of exchange rate volatility on foreign direct investment (FDI) in Nigeria, using secondary time series data from1970 to 2004. In doing this, the study utilized the error correction model as well as OLS method of estimation. The results suggest, among others, that exchange rate volatility need not be a source of worry by foreign investors. Also, the study further reveals a significant positive relationship between real inward FDI and exchange rate. This implies that, depreciation of the Naira increases real inward FDI. Also, the results indicate that the structural adjustment programme (introduced in Nigeria in 1986) had a negative impact on real inward FDI, which could be due to the deregulation that was accompanied by exchange rate volatility. As such, a major challenge before the Central Bank of Nigeria therefore, is to attain a stable and realistic exchange rate that will boost domestic production, increase real inward FDI and maintain internal and external balance.

Suggested Citation

  • Osinubi, T. S. & Amaghionyeodiwe, L. A, 2009. "Foreign Direct Investment and Exchange Rate Volatility in Nigeria," International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 9(2).
  • Handle: RePEc:eaa:ijaeqs:v:9:y2009:i:1_13
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.usc.es/economet/reviews/ijaeqs926.pdf
    Download Restriction: No
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Darby, Julia, et al, 1999. "The Impact of Exchange Rate Uncertainty on the Level of Investment," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 109(454), pages 55-67, March.
    2. Professor E. Philip Davis & Joseph Byrne, 2003. "Panel Estimation of the Impact of Exchange Rate Uncertainty on Investment in the Major Industrial Countries," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 208, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
    3. Bruce A. Blonigen, 2019. "Firm-Specific Assets and the Link Between Exchange Rates and Foreign Direct Investment," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Foreign Direct Investment, chapter 3, pages 89-120, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    4. Nikolina Kosteletou & Panagiotis Liargovas, 2000. "Foreign Direct Investment and Real Exchange Rate Interlinkages," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 11(2), pages 135-148, April.
    5. Guisan, M.Carmen, 2001. "Causality and Cointegration between Consumption and GDP in 25 OECD countries: limitations of cointegration approach," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 1(1), pages 39-61.
    6. Goldberg, Linda S & Kolstad, Charles D, 1995. "Foreign Direct Investment, Exchange Rate Variability and Demand Uncertainty," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 36(4), pages 855-873, November.
    7. Kenneth A. Froot & Jeremy C. Stein, 1991. "Exchange Rates and Foreign Direct Investment: An Imperfect Capital Markets Approach," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 106(4), pages 1191-1217.
    8. James R. Markusen, 1995. "The Boundaries of Multinational Enterprises and the Theory of International Trade," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 9(2), pages 169-189, Spring.
    9. Georges de Ménil, 1999. "Real capital market integration in the EU: How far has it gone? What will the effect of the euro be?," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 14(28), pages 166-201.
    10. Nigel Pain & Desirée Van Welsum, 2003. "Untying The Gordian Knot: The Multiple Links Between Exchange Rates and Foreign Direct Investment," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(5), pages 823-846, December.
    11. Guisan, M.Carmen, 2003. "Causality Tests, Interdependence and Model Selection: Aplication to OECD countries 1960-97," Economic Development 63, University of Santiago de Compostela. Faculty of Economics and Business. Econometrics..
    12. Barrell,Ray & Pain,Nigel (ed.), 1999. "Innovation, Investment and the Diffusion of Technology in Europe," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521620871.
    13. Benassy-Quere, AgnEs & Fontagne, Lionel & LahrEche-Revil, Amina, 2001. "Exchange-Rate Strategies in the Competition for Attracting Foreign Direct Investment," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 178-198, June.
    14. Avinash K. Dixit & Robert S. Pindyck, 1994. "Investment under Uncertainty," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 5474.
    15. Byrne, Joseph B & E. Philip Davis, 2003. "Panel Estimation of the Impact of Uncertainty on Investment in the Industrial Countries," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2003 34, Royal Economic Society.
    16. Campa, Joe Manuel, 1993. "Entry by Foreign Firms in the United States under Exchange Rate Uncertainty," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 75(4), pages 614-622, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mohamed Isse Ibrahim & Zahir Mohamed Omar & Ali Yassin Sheikh Ali3, 2017. "The Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Somalia," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(3), pages 713-720.
    2. Azem Duraku, 2018. "Development of Value Added Tax in Kosovo - Comparative and Research Aspects 2006-2017," European Journal of Marketing and Economics Articles, Revistia Research and Publishing, vol. 1, September.
    3. Odili Okwuchukwu, 2015. "Exchange Rate Volatility, Stock Market Performance and Foreign Direct Investment in Nigeria," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 5(2), pages 172-184, April.
    4. Chrysanthi Balomenou & Erisa Pajollari, 2022. "Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on International Trade: Case of USA and Canada," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), International Hellenic University (IHU), Kavala Campus, Greece (formerly Eastern Macedonia and Thrace Institute of Technology - EMaTTech), vol. 15(1), pages 47-57, July.
    5. Mohammad I. Elian & Nabeel Sawalha & Ahmed Bani-Mustafa, 2020. "Revisiting the FDI–Growth Nexus: ARDL Bound Test for BRICS Standalone Economies," Modern Applied Science, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 14(6), pages 1-1, June.
    6. AFOLABI Tunde Ahmed & NANKELA Ndinelago Monika, 2019. "The impact of exchange rate regime on Balance of payments in Namibia," International Journal of Science and Business, IJSAB International, vol. 3(5), pages 133-151.
    7. Jalib Sikandar, Muhammad & Muhammad Yasin, Hafiz & Muhammad, Malik, 2019. "Exchange Rate Uncertainty and Workers’ Remittances: Empirical Bayesian Approach," Journal of Quantitative Methods, University of Management and Technology, Lahore, Pakistan, vol. 3(2), pages 90-109.
    8. Nelson Johnny & Ekokeme Tamaroukro Timipere & Okoyan Krokeme & Dumani Markjackson, 2018. "Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Unemployment rate in Nigeria (1980-2015)," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 8(3), pages 57-69, March.
    9. Muhammad Zahid Naeem, 2021. "The Impact of Exchange Rate, Interest Rate and Economic Misery on Foreign Direct Investment: Empirics from Pakistan," Journal of Policy Research (JPR), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 7(1), pages 36-43, March.
    10. Allah Ditta & Ahmad Hassan, 2017. "Nexus of Economic Misery, Interest rate, Exchange rate and Foreign Direct Investment in Pakistan," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 6(1), pages 35-44, March.
    11. Shah, Mumtaz Hussain & Zeb, Aisha, 2017. "Prudent Macro Management of the Economy and Inward FDI in ASEAN Member States," MPRA Paper 107249, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Abanikanda, Ezekiel Olamide & Akinbobola, Temidayo Oladiran, 2023. "Does Financial Deepening Matter in the Nexus between Exchange Rate Volatility and Foreign Investment? Insight from Nigeria," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 11(1), January.
    13. Silvia Dal Bianco & Nguyen Cong To Loan, 2017. "FDI Inflows, Price and Exchange Rate Volatility: New Empirical Evidence from Latin America," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-17, February.
    14. Lord Mensah & Godfred Alufar Bokpin & Eric Dei Fosu-Hene, 2017. "Foreign exchange rate moments and FDI in Ghana," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 41(1), pages 136-152, January.
    15. Khansa Zaman & Muhammad Saeed Rana & Umer Iftikhar, 2019. "A Multilevel Analysis of Job Demands and Intention to Resign Through Perceived Service Recovery Performance," Business & Economic Review, Institute of Management Sciences, Peshawar, Pakistan, vol. 11(2), pages 67-82, June.
    16. Muhammad Jalib Sikandar & Fazale Wahid, 2019. "Debt and Economic Growth of Pakistan; Role of Uncertain Economic and Political Conditions," Business & Economic Review, Institute of Management Sciences, Peshawar, Pakistan, vol. 11(2), pages 83-106, June.
    17. Ali, Muhammad Ali & Asfand, Asfand Yar Khattak & Bakhtiyar, Bakhtiyar Khan & Hammad, Raja Hammad Amhed, 2014. "Financial Risk and Foreign Direct Investment: Evidence from Pakistan Economy," MPRA Paper 60779, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 12 Dec 2014.
    18. Muhammad Ejaz & Muhammad Shahzad & Rana Ejaz Ali Khan, 2021. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Capital Inflows in Developing Economies," Asian Development Policy Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 9(1), pages 24-32, March.
    19. Yu Ma & Xinqian Du, 2022. "Exchange rate factors, income levels, and investment abroad: An empirical study based on a sample of emerging economies," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 1711-1730, April.
    20. Mosteut, Safini & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "Does the exchange rate volatility affect the foreign direct investment? the case of Thailand," MPRA Paper 108898, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Thomas Galih Pramudita & Setyabudi Indartono & Maimun Sholeh, 2019. "The Antecedent of Domestic Investment in Indonesia: Auto Regressive Distributed Lag Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(2), pages 138-144.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Matthias Busse & Carsten Hefeker & Signe Nelgen, 2013. "Foreign Direct Investment and Exchange Rate Regimes," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(1), pages 843-858.
    2. Sakli Hniya & Ahlem Boubker & Fatma Mrad & Sawssen Nafti, 2021. "The Impact of Real Exchange Rate Volatility on Foreign Direct Investment Inflows in Tunisia," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 11(5), pages 52-67.
    3. Zainab Jehan & Azooba Hamid, 2017. "Exchange rate volatility and capital inflows: role of financial development," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 16(3), pages 189-203, December.
    4. Takagi, Shinji & Shi, Zongying, 2011. "Exchange rate movements and foreign direct investment (FDI): Japanese investment in Asia, 1987–2008," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 265-272.
    5. Schmidt, Christian W. & Broll, Udo, 2008. "The effect of exchange rate risk on U.S. foreign direct investment: An empirical analysis," MPRA Paper 10713, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Warren Moraghen & Boopen Seetanah & Noor Sookia, 2019. "Explaining Heterogeneity in the Effect of the Exchange Rate and Exchange Rate Volatility on Foreign Direct Investment: A Meta‐Analysis Approach," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 31(3), pages 275-291, September.
    7. Nigel Pain & Desirée Van Welsum, 2003. "Untying The Gordian Knot: The Multiple Links Between Exchange Rates and Foreign Direct Investment," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(5), pages 823-846, December.
    8. Christian Schmidt & Udo Broll, 2009. "Real exchange-rate uncertainty and US foreign direct investment: an empirical analysis," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 145(3), pages 513-530, October.
    9. Lee, Bong-Soo & Min, Byung S., 2011. "Exchange rates and FDI strategies of multinational enterprises," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 19(5), pages 586-603, November.
    10. Warren Moraghen & Boopen Seetanah & Noor Sookia, 2021. "Impact of exchange rate and exchange rate volatility on foreign direct investment inflow for Mauritius: A dynamic time series approach," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 33(4), pages 581-591, December.
    11. Shauna Phillips & Fredoun Z. Ahmadi-Esfahani, 2008. "Exchange rates and foreign direct investment: theoretical models and empirical evidence ," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 52(4), pages 505-525, December.
    12. Chia‐Ching Lin & Kun‐Ming Chen, 2022. "Market competition, exchange rate uncertainty, and foreign direct investment," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(1), pages 405-422, February.
    13. Phillips, Shauna & Ahmadi-Esfahani, Fredoun Z., 2008. "Exchange Rates and Foreign Direct Investment: Theoretical Models and Empirical Evidence," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 54(4), pages 1-21.
    14. Syarifuddin, Ferry, 2020. "The Dynamics of Foreign Direct Investment and Exchange Rates: An Interconnection Approach in ASEAN," MPRA Paper 104596, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Shi Li & Hironobu Nakagawa, 2022. "Exchange rates and foreign direct investment: Evidence from Chinese firm‐level data," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(9), pages 2902-2923, September.
    16. Ni, Shawn & Ratti, Ronald A., 2009. "Heterogeneous parameter uncertainty and the timing of investment during crisis," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 3, pages 1-22.
    17. Chiara Franco & Francesco Rentocchini & Giuseppe Vittucci Marzetti, 2008. "Why do firms invest abroad? An analysis of the motives underlying Foreign Direct Investments," Department of Economics Working Papers 0817, Department of Economics, University of Trento, Italia.
    18. Jose Brandao de Brito & Felipa de Mello Sampayo, 2005. "The timing and probability of FDI: an application to US multinational enterprises," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(4), pages 417-437.
    19. Agnès Bénassy-Quéré & Lionel Fontagné & Amina Lahrèche-Revil, 1999. "Exchange Rate Strategies in the Competition for Attracting FDI," Working Papers 1999-16, CEPII research center.
    20. Nicholas Apergis & Dimitrios Asteriou & Kalliroi Papathoma, 2013. "The Explanatory Variables of Outward Foreign Direct Investment: Panel Evidence," American Journal of Economics and Business Administration, Science Publications, vol. 4(4), pages 207-215, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eaa:ijaeqs:v:9:y2009:i:1_13. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: M. Carmen Guisan (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.usc.es/economet/eaa.htm .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.