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Panel Estimation of the Impact of Exchange Rate Uncertainty on Investment in the Major Industrial Countries Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Joseph P. Byrne ()
E. Philip Davis ()
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We estimate the impact of exchange rate uncertainty on investment, using panel estimation featuring a decomposition of exchange rate volatility derived from the components GARCH model of Engle and Lee (1999). For a poolable subsample of EU countries, it is the transitory and not the permanent component of volatility which adversely affects investment, implying high frequency shocks of the type that may be generated by volatile short term capital flows are most deleterious for investment. Results based on EGARCH also suggest that the response of investment to exchange rate uncertainty may depend partly on the sign of the initial shock.
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Paper provided by National Institute of Economic and Social Research in its series NIESR Discussion Papers with number
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Date of creation: Feb 2003Date of revision:
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Paper Joseph P. Byrne & E. Philip Davis, 2003.
"Panel Estimation Of The Impact Of Exchange Rate Uncertainty On Investment In The Major Industrial Countries ,"
Economics and Finance Discussion Papers
03-05, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
[Downloadable!] Joseph P. Byrne & E. Philip Davis, 2003.
"Panel Estimation Of The Impact Of Exchange Rate Uncertainty On Investment In The Major Industrial Countries ,"
Public Policy Discussion Papers
03-05, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
[Downloadable!] This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports :
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Bianca Clausen, 2008.
"Real Effective Exchange Rate Uncertainty, Threshold Effects, and Aggregate Investment – Evidence from Latin American Countries ,"
IWP Discussion Paper Series
02/2008, Institute for Economic Policy, Cologne, Germany.
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