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Panel Estimation of the Impact of Uncertainty on Investment in the Industrial Countries

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Author Info
Byrne, Joseph B (NIESR)
E. Philip Davis

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Abstract

There is growing interest in economic uncertainty and its long run impact on investment. In previous work the authors established clear evidence of the negative impact of exchange rate uncertainty on investment in the G7, measured using a GARCH approach, and Pooled Mean Group Panel Estimation. In this paper we assess the impact on investment of temporary and permanent components of exchange rate uncertainty derived using a components GARCH model. For a poolable subsample of EU countries, results suggest that it is the transitory and not the permanent component which adversely affects investment.

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File URL: http://repec.org/res2003/Byrne.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Royal Economic Society in its series Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2003 with number 34.

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Date of creation: 04 Jun 2003
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Handle: RePEc:ecj:ac2003:34

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Web page: http://www.res.org.uk/society/annualconf.asp
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Related research
Keywords: investment; uncertainty; exchange rates; non stationary panel estimation;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Capital; Investment; Capacity
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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