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La tasa de interés en Colombia. 1958-1992

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  • Carlos Esteban Posada

    ()

  • Martha Misas

    ()

Abstract

A continuación se presenta una explicación del nivel anual y de las variaciones de la tasa de interés media colombiana en el periodo 1958-1992. En la primera parte se ofrece evidencia empírica favorable a la hipótesis de Fisher para explicar el comportamiento de la tasa de interés nominal; en efecto, se muestra que ésta ha dependido de la tasa real interna y de la tasa de inflación y que el coeficiente de determinación de la tasa de inflación sobre la tasa de interés es 1 en el largo plazo. En la segunda parte se muestra que la tasa de interés real interna ha dependido de la tasa real externa y que ha oscilado en torno a la suma de ésta y una magnitud constante. Por último, se consigna evidencia favorable a la hipótesis de que la tasa de interés real afecta negativamente la tasa de crecimiento del producto.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ESPE in its journal ENSAYOS SOBRE POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA.

Volume (Year): (1995)
Issue (Month): ()
Pages:

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Handle: RePEc:col:000107:007522

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Keywords: TASAS DE INTERES;

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References

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  1. Perron, P, 1988. "The Great Crash, The Oil Price Shock And The Unit Root Hypothesis," Papers 338, Princeton, Department of Economics - Econometric Research Program.
  2. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1991. "A simple estimator of cointegrating vectors in higher order integrated systems," Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues 91-3, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
  3. Jorge Ramos & Norberto Rdríguez, 1995. "Déficit fiscal y tasas de interés en Colombia," ENSAYOS SOBRE POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ESPE.
  4. Yash P. Mehra, 1994. "An error-correction model of the long-term bond rate," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue Fall, pages 49-68.
  5. Guillermo Mondiano & Rob Rennhack, 1989. "Movilidad De Capitales Y Politica Monetaria En Colombia," ENSAYOS SOBRE POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ESPE.
  6. Lawrence J. Christiano & Martin Eichenbaum, 1991. "Identification and the Liquidity Effect of a Monetary Policy Shock," NBER Working Papers 3920, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. Misas Arango, Martha & Posada Posada, Carlos Esteban, 1995. "P-estrella en Colombia : un punto de vista sobre la inflacion," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 42, pages 107-132, Enero Jun.
  8. Denis Kwiatkowski & Peter C.B. Phillips & Peter Schmidt, 1991. "Testing the Null Hypothesis of Stationarity Against the Alternative of a Unit Root: How Sure Are We That Economic Time Series Have a Unit Root?," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 979, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  9. Cottrell, Allin, 1994. "Post-Keynesian Monetary Economics," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 18(6), pages 587-605, December.
  10. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-72, June.
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