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Structural Breaks And Unit Roots In Australian Macroeconomic Time Series

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Author Info
PareshKumar Narayan
Russell Smyth

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Abstract

We examine the unit root properties of 16 Australian macroeconomic time series using monthly data spanning the period 1960-2004. In addition to the standard Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) test, we implement one- and two-break endogenous structural break ADF-type unit root tests as well as one- and two-break Lagrange multiplier (LM) unit root tests. While the ADF test provides relatively little evidence against the unit root null hypothesis, once we allow for structural breaks we are able to reject the unit root null for just under half of the variables at the 10% level or better. Copyright 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1468-0106.2005.00283.x
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Pacific Economic Review.

Volume (Year): 10 (2005)
Issue (Month): 4 (December)
Pages: 421-437
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Handle: RePEc:bla:pacecr:v:10:y:2005:i:4:p:421-437

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  1. Brittle, Shane, 2009. "Ricardian Equivalence and the Efficacy of Fiscal Policy in Australia," Economics Working Papers wp09-10, School of Economics, University of Wollongong, NSW, Australia. [Downloadable!]
  2. Waheed, Muhammad & Alam, Tasneem & Ghauri, Saghir Pervaiz, 2006. "Structural breaks and unit root: evidence from Pakistani macroeconomic time series," MPRA Paper 1797, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  3. VALADKHANI, A. & LAYTON, Allan P. & PAHLAVANI, M., 2005. "Multiple Structural Breaks In Australia’S Macroeconomic Data: An Application Of The Lumsdaine And Papell Test," International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 2(3), pages 31-44. [Downloadable!]
  4. Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2006. "Are bilateral real exchange rates stationary? Evidence from Lagrange multiplier unit root tests for India," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 63-70, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Valadkhani, Abbas & Layton, Allan P. & Pahlavani, Mosayeb, 2005. "Multiple Structural Breaks in Australia's Macroeconomic Data: An Application of the Lumsdaine and Papell Test," Economics Working Papers wp05-17, School of Economics, University of Wollongong, NSW, Australia. [Downloadable!]
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