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Labor Reallocation, Employment, and Earnings: Vector Autoregression Evidence

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  • Henry R. Hyatt
  • Tucker S. McElroy

Abstract

We present time series evidence for the USA 1993–2013 on the relationship between labor reallocation, employment, and earnings using a vector autoregression framework. We find that an increase in labor market churn by 1 percentage point predicts that employment will increase by 100,000–560,000 jobs, lowering the unemployment rate by 0.05–0.25 percentage points. Job destruction does not predict changes in employment but a 1 percentage point increase in job destruction leads to an increase in unemployment 0.14–0.42 percentage points. We find mixed results on the relationship between labor reallocation rates and earnings.

Suggested Citation

  • Henry R. Hyatt & Tucker S. McElroy, 2019. "Labor Reallocation, Employment, and Earnings: Vector Autoregression Evidence," LABOUR, CEIS, vol. 33(4), pages 463-487, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:labour:v:33:y:2019:i:4:p:463-487
    DOI: 10.1111/labr.12153
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Abowd, John M. & Vilhuber, Lars, 2011. "National estimates of gross employment and job flows from the Quarterly Workforce Indicators with demographic and industry detail," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 161(1), pages 82-99, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hahn, Joyce K. & Hyatt, Henry R. & Janicki, Hubert P., 2021. "Job ladders and growth in earnings, hours, and wages," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    2. Asmae Beladel & Radouane Raouf, 2022. "Impact assessment of job reallocation on unemployment in Morocco: An ARDL approach," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 34(4), pages 500-512, December.

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