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Trade Diversification and Crisis Transmission: A Case Study of Thailand

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  • Kornkarun Cheewatrakoolpong
  • Somprawin Manprasert

Abstract

type="main"> The international trade literature suggests trade concentration is an important factor in the amplification of the global financial crisis. However, the relationship between trade concentration and transmission of the subprime crisis is empirically weak. Thailand is one of the countries with declining reliance on the advanced economies, yet it was greatly affected by the recent crisis. This might result because the formation of global supply chains creates both direct and indirect trade linkages. In this paper, the authors include the effects of both linkages to examine their connection to the transmission of external shocks, as experienced by the Thai economy. If total trade linkages are calculated, Thailand is still found to be highly exposed to advanced markets. Simulation using a computational general equilibrium model also indicates that the country was seriously affected by the financial crisis through indirect channels.

Suggested Citation

  • Kornkarun Cheewatrakoolpong & Somprawin Manprasert, 2015. "Trade Diversification and Crisis Transmission: A Case Study of Thailand," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 29(4), pages 385-408, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:asiaec:v:29:y:2015:i:4:p:385-408
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    2. Mala Raghavan & Evelyn S. Devadason, 2019. "How resilient is ASEAN-5 to trade shocks? Regional and global shocks compared," CAMA Working Papers 2019-53, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    3. Mala Raghavan & Evelyn S. Devadason, 2020. "How Resilient Is ASEAN-5 to Trade Shocks? A Comparison of Regional and Global Shocks," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 12(1), pages 93-115, January.
    4. Dungey, Mardi & Khan, Faisal & Raghavan, Mala, 2018. "International trade and the transmission of shocks: The case of ASEAN-4 and NIE-4 economies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 109-121.

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