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Long-term consequences of short-term precipitation shocks: evidence from Brazilian migrant households

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  • Valerie A. Mueller
  • Daniel E. Osgood

Abstract

We find that large short-term precipitation shocks damage the long-term income of households that have permanently migrated from rural to urban areas. This outcome is consistent with the behavior of credit-constrained rural households who are willing to accept lower long-term income in urban areas following the depletion of their productive assets during an adverse shock. Our empirical evidence suggests that there may be a link between large precipitation shocks in rural areas and urban poverty. Further exploration is warranted on the mechanisms by which natural disasters cause these long-term losses. Copyright (c) 2009 International Association of Agricultural Economists.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by International Association of Agricultural Economists in its journal Agricultural Economics.

Volume (Year): 40 (2009)
Issue (Month): 5 (09)
Pages: 573-586

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Handle: RePEc:bla:agecon:v:40:y:2009:i:5:p:573-586

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Cited by:
  1. Javier E. Baez & Dorothy Kronick & Andrew D. Mason, 2013. "Rural Households in a Changing Climate," World Bank Research Observer, World Bank Group, vol. 28(2), pages 267-289, August.
  2. Baez, Javier E. & de la Fuente, Alejandro & Santos, Indhira, 2010. "Do Natural Disasters Affect Human Capital? An Assessment Based on Existing Empirical Evidence," IZA Discussion Papers 5164, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).

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