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The effect of US holidays on the European markets: when the cat’s away…

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  • Jorge Casado
  • Luis Muga
  • Rafael Santamaria

Abstract

type="main" xml:lang="en"> This paper presents evidence of the existence of a return effect on European stock markets coinciding with New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) holidays, which is particularly marked after positive closing returns on the NYSE the previous day. The effect is large enough to be exploited by trading index futures. This anomaly cannot be explained by seasonal effects, such as the day of the week effect, the January effect or the pre-holiday effect, nor is it consistent with behavioural finance models that predict positive correlation between trading volume and returns. However, examination of factors such as information volume or investor mix provides a reasonable explanation.

Suggested Citation

  • Jorge Casado & Luis Muga & Rafael Santamaria, 2013. "The effect of US holidays on the European markets: when the cat’s away…," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 53(1), pages 111-136, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:acctfi:v:53:y:2013:i:1:p:111-136
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/j.1467-629X.2011.00460.x
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    Cited by:

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    2. Bogdan Batrinca & Christian W. Hesse & Philip C. Treleaven, 0. "Developing a Volume Forecasting Model," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 0, pages 1.
    3. Manuela Geranio & Valter Lazzari, 2019. "Stress Testing the Equity Home Bias: A Turnover Analysis of Eurozone Markets," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 19114, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    4. Bogdan Batrinca & Christian W. Hesse & Philip C. Treleaven, 2017. "Developing a Volume Forecasting Model," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 7(1), pages 1-1.
    5. Bogdan Batrinca & Christian W. Hesse & Philip C. Treleaven, 2018. "European trading volumes on cross‐market holidays," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(4), pages 675-704, October.
    6. Paulo M. Gama & Elisabete F. S. Vieira, 2013. "Another look at the holiday effect," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(20), pages 1623-1633, October.
    7. Kwaku Boafo Baidoo, 2019. "The Effects of Short Selling on Financial Markets Volatilities," European Journal of Business Science and Technology, Mendel University in Brno, Faculty of Business and Economics, vol. 5(2), pages 218-228.
    8. Noriyuki Kunimoto & Kazuhiko Kakamu, 2021. "Is Bitcoin really a currency? A viewpoint of a stochastic volatility model," Papers 2111.15351, arXiv.org.

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