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Forecasting inflation and its determinants

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Author Info
Anca Tanasie
Cosmin Fratostiteanu (University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Romania)
Abstract

VAR modeling in inflation forecasting has been widely used, and rather successful, even if there have been several critiques of its exactness or accuracy. This paper is structured into two sections. The first one accomplishes a general presentation of VAR modeling in forecasting inflation, and the second is focused on the results of this econometric approach for inflation in Romania. Even if we considered methodologies containing inflation measured using CPI, CORE1 and CORE2, testing will only be performed for the CPI Inflation. Data used in mainly provided by statistics issued by the Romanian National Bank, and computing is accomplished using Mathematica 5.0.

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File URL: http://feaa.ucv.ro/RTE/010-15.pdf
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Publisher Info
Article provided by University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration in its journal Revista Tinerior Economisti(The Young Economists Journal).

Volume (Year): 1 (2008)
Issue (Month): 10 (April)
Pages: 110-116
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Handle: RePEc:aio:rteyej:v:1:y:2008:i:10:p:110-116

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Related research
Keywords: inflation; VAR models; forecast; Romania;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
G00 - Financial Economics - - General - - - General
G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Robert F. Westcott & Peter F. Christoffersen, 1999. "Is Poland Ready for Inflation Targeting?," IMF Working Papers 99/41, International Monetary Fund.
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-16.


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