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Forward Pricing Behavior of Corn and Soybean Producers

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Author Info

  • Davis, Todd D.
  • Patrick, George F.
  • Coble, Keith H.
  • Knight, Thomas O.
  • Baquet, Alan E.

Abstract

Forward pricing behavior of random samples of Indiana, Nebraska, and Mississippi crop producers was analyzed using Heckman’s two-step limited information maximum likelihood estimation procedure. Producers who forward priced during the 1995-1998 period generally expected to forward price in 1999 using similar techniques. Probit models were estimated for cash forward contracts and taking a direct position in futures or options separately and combined. Results provide limited support for the hypothesis that forward pricing should be analyzed as an adoption decision. Variables reflecting risk attitudes do affect the decision to use forward pricing, while variables to economic position affect the level of forward pricing.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Southern Agricultural Economics Association in its journal Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics.

Volume (Year): 37 (2005)
Issue (Month): 01 (April)
Pages:

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Handle: RePEc:ags:joaaec:43722

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Web page: http://www.saea.org/jaae/jaae.htm
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Related research

Keywords: forward contracts; futures; grain marketing; Heckman procedure; Crop Production/Industries; Marketing; Production Economics; Q130; Q120;

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References

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  1. Brorsen, B. Wade & Anderson, Kim B., 1994. "Cash Wheat Marketing: Strategies for Real People," Journal of Agribusiness, Agricultural Economics Association of Georgia, vol. 12(2).
  2. Townsend, John P. & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2000. "Cost Of Forward Contracting Hard Red Winter Wheat," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 32(01), April.
  3. Park, Timothy A. & Florkowski, Wojciech J., 1996. "Demand And Quality Uncertainty In Pecan Purchasing Decisions," Faculty Series 16714, University of Georgia, Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics.
  4. repec:jaa:jagape:v:32:y:2000:i:1:p:89-94 is not listed on IDEAS
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Cited by:
  1. Jordaan, Henry & Grove, Bennie, 2007. "Factors Affecting Maize Producers Adoption of Forward Pricing in Price Risk Management: The Case of Vaalharts," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 46(4), December.
  2. Rejesus, Roderick M. & Knight, Thomas O. & Jaramillo, Mauricio & Coble, Keith H. & Patrick, George F. & Baquet, Alan E., 2008. "Preference for Risk Management Information Sources: Implications for Extension and Outreach Programming," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 37(1), April.
  3. Jordaan, Henry & Grove, Bennie, 2008. "Factors affecting the use of forward pricing methods in price risk management with special reference to the influence of risk aversion," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 47(1), March.

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