IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ags/agreko/55133.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The role of the Generalised System of Preferences (GSP) in determining carnation demand in the United Kingdom: implications for Colombian and Kenyan exports

Author

Listed:
  • Muhammad, Andrew
  • Ngeleza, Guyslain K.

Abstract

The goal of this paper was to assess how the EU Generalised System of Preferences incentive scheme to combat drugs production and trafficking (GSP+) affected carnation imports in the United Kingdom (UK). Colombian carnations enter the EU duty-free under the GSP+ incentive scheme which is less secure than the trade agreement between the EU and Kenya. If the EU withdrew preferences from Colombia, would Kenyan flower exporters be better off in the UK carnation market? The results of study showed that Colombian exports benefited from tariff-free access to the UK where the benefit was due to both trade creation and trade diversion. Additionally, the competition between Colombian and Kenyan carnations was found to be insignificant and there was no evidence that GSP+ negatively affected Kenyan carnations. The results showed that competing exporters (Kenya, the Netherlands and Spain) could actually be better off when Colombian carnations are given duty-free to the EU.

Suggested Citation

  • Muhammad, Andrew & Ngeleza, Guyslain K., 2009. "The role of the Generalised System of Preferences (GSP) in determining carnation demand in the United Kingdom: implications for Colombian and Kenyan exports," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 48(3), pages 1-16, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:agreko:55133
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.55133
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/55133/files/5.%20Muhammad%20_%20Ngeleza.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.55133?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Beach, Charles M & MacKinnon, James G, 1979. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Singular Equation Systems with Autoregressive Disturbances," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 20(2), pages 459-464, June.
    2. BARTEN, Anton P., 1969. "Maximum likelihood estimation of a complete system of demand equations," LIDAM Reprints CORE 34, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    3. Barten, A. P., 1969. "Maximum likelihood estimation of a complete system of demand equations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 7-73.
    4. Kalyan K. Sanyal & Ronald W. Jones, 2018. "The Theory of Trade in Middle Products," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: International Trade Theory and Competitive Models Features, Values, and Criticisms, chapter 13, pages 203-231, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    5. Terry L. Kastens & Gary W. Brester, 1996. "Model Selection and Forecasting Ability of Theory-Constrained Food Demand Systems," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 78(2), pages 301-312.
    6. Andrew Muhammad, 2009. "Would African Countries Benefit from the Termination of Kenya’s Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) with the EU? An Analysis of EU Demand for Imported Roses," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(1), pages 220-238, February.
    7. Washington, Andrew A. & Kilmer, Richard L., 2002. "The Production Theory Approach To Import Demand Analysis: A Comparison Of The Rotterdam Model And The Differential Production Approach," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 34(3), pages 1-3, December.
    8. Seale, James L., Jr. & Sparks, Amy L. & Buxton, Boyd M., 1992. "A Rotterdam Application To International Trade In Fresh Apples: A Differential Approach," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 17(1), pages 1-12, July.
    9. Andrew Muhammad, 2007. "The impact of increasing non-agricultural market access on EU demand for imported fish: implications for Lake Victoria chilled fillet exports," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 34(4), pages 461-477, December.
    10. Arvind Panagariya, 2002. "EU Preferential Trade Arrangements and Developing Countries," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(10), pages 1415-1432, November.
    11. Theil, Henri & Clements, Kenneth W., 1978. "A differential approach to U.S. import demand," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 1(3), pages 249-252.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Shah Mehmood WAGAN, 2015. "Export boost of textile industry of Pakistan by availing EU’s GSP Plus," Journal of Economics Library, KSP Journals, vol. 2(1), pages 18-27, March.
    2. Wagan, Shah Mehmood, 2015. "Export boost of Textile Industry of Pakistan by availing EU’s GSP Plus," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 1(1), pages 18-27.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Muhammad, Andrew & Ngeleza, Guyslain K., 2009. "European Union preferential trade agreements with developing countries and their impact on Colombian and Kenyan carnation exports to the United Kingdom:," IFPRI discussion papers 862, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    2. Andrew Muhammad, 2009. "Would African Countries Benefit from the Termination of Kenya’s Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) with the EU? An Analysis of EU Demand for Imported Roses," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(1), pages 220-238, February.
    3. Wang, Xiaojin & Reed, Michael, 2014. "Estimation of U.S. Demand for Imported Shrimp by Country: A Two-stage Differential Production Approach," 2014 Annual Meeting, February 1-4, 2014, Dallas, Texas 162459, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    4. Muhammad, Andrew & D’Souza, Anna & Amponsah, William, 2013. "Violence, Instability, and Trade: Evidence from Kenya’s Cut Flower Sector," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 20-31.
    5. James L. Seale & Mary A. Marchant & Alberto Basso, 2003. "Imports versus Domestic Production: A Demand System Analysis of the U.S. Red Wine Market," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 25(1), pages 187-202.
    6. Kilmer, Richard L. & Washington, Andrew A., 2000. "The Derived Demand For Imported Cheese In Hong Kong Differentiated By Source Country Of Production," 2000 Annual meeting, July 30-August 2, Tampa, FL 21724, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    7. Muhammad, Andrew & McPhail, Lihong Lu & Kiawu, James, 2012. "Do U.S. Cotton Subsidies Affect Competing Exporters? An Analysis of Import Demand in China," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 44(2), pages 1-15, May.
    8. Rodrigo García Arancibia & Edith Depetris Guiguet, 2020. "Brazilian Import Demand of Dairy Products with Emphasis in the Mercosul Context [Demanda brasileira de importações de laticínios com ênfase no contexo do Mercosul]," Nova Economia, Economics Department, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (Brazil), vol. 30(2), pages 551-577, May-Augus.
    9. Washington, Andrew A. & Kilmer, Richard L., 2001. "The Derived Demand For Imported Cheese Into Japan By Country," 2001: International Trade in Livestock Products Symposium, January 2001, Auckland, New Zealand 14551, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    10. Muhammad, Andrew, 2008. "The Role of the Imports for Re-Exports Program in Determining Canadian Demand for Imported Cheese: Implications for U.S. Exports," 2008 Annual Meeting, February 2-6, 2008, Dallas, Texas 8214, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    11. Gordon Fisher & Michael McAleer & Diana Whistler, 1981. "Interest Rates and Durability in the Linear Expenditure Family," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 14(2), pages 331-341, May.
    12. Deschamps, Philippe J., 1998. "Full maximum likelihood estimation of dynamic demand models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 82(2), pages 335-359, February.
    13. Zhu, Manhong & Onel, Gulcan & Seale, James L., 2015. "An empirical input allocation model for the cost minimizing multiproduct firm," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 73-76.
    14. Andrew Muhammad & Richard L. Kilmer, 2008. "The impact of EU export subsidy reductions on U.S. dairy exports," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(4), pages 557-574.
    15. Capps, Oral, Jr., 1983. "Alternative Estimation Methods Of Nonlinear Demand Systems," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 8(1), pages 1-14, July.
    16. Countryman Amanda M & Muhammad Andrew, 2017. "The Effects of T-TIP Market Access Reform on EU Beef Import Demand," Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization, De Gruyter, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, January.
    17. Davis, Christopher G & Cessna, Jerry, 2020. "Prospects for Growth in U.S. Dairy Exports to Southeast Asia," Economic Research Report 327204, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    18. Muhammad, Andrew & Leister, Amanda M. & McPhail, Lihong & Chen, Wei, 2014. "The evolution of foreign wine demand in China," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 58(3), July.
    19. Dave Weatherspoon & James Oehmke & Assa Dembele & Lorraine Weatherspoon, 2015. "Fresh vegetable demand behaviour in an urban food desert," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 52(5), pages 960-979, April.
    20. Toshinobu Matsuda, 2005. "Differential Demand Systems: A Further Look at Barten's Synthesis," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 71(3), pages 607-619, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    International Relations/Trade;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:agreko:55133. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aeasaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.